TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jakub Chojnacki vs Mateusz Burkacki 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121210711311––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
76 points played in total.
Set by set
10121210711311––
H2H Jakub Chojnacki 0–2 Mateusz Burkacki Jakub Chojnacki has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Burkacki beat Chojnacki 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Burkacki form (40%) is below what odds imply (70%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChojnacki 2.70 / Burkacki 1.42
TT Cup · #13238904
Chojnacki2.70
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 6 of 17
Down 0–1, comes back9% 1 of 11
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 7
Burkacki1.42
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 16 of 32
Up 2–0, closes it92% 12 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it82% 14 of 17
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeChojnacki0wins
AwayBurkacki2wins
1 of 2 to a deciderBurkacki leads 2–0, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricChojnackiBurkackiC − BBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match34.041.5−7.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChojnackiBurkackiBasisWin rate · lifetime13 / 29 vs 102 / 25444.8%40.2%13 / 29 vs 102 / 254Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.336.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BurkackiChojnacki 2.70/Burkacki 1.42
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Burkacki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LOct 3 · 11:05J. Chojnacki2461080M. Burkacki341112113
LOct 2 · 05:00J. Chojnacki44111111472M. Burkacki49135911113
J. Chojnacki10
LOct 3 · 12:05M. Lysakowski1.38911119113J. Chojnacki2.8211661172LOct 3 · 11:05J. Chojnacki2.4061080M. Burkacki1.501112113WOct 3 · 10:05J. Chojnacki2.4511511113S. Wloszek1.49911781WOct 3 · 08:35J. Chojnacki2.15111011113J. Masternak1.62312491WOct 3 · 06:35J. Chojnacki2.85111111113B. Molka1.36891371WOct 2 · 13:30B. Molka1.6971110131J. Chojnacki2.0511412153WOct 2 · 11:30P. Gola1.426121061J. Chojnacki2.69111012113WOct 2 · 10:30M. Lysakowski1.1971111131J. Chojnacki4.3011813153LOct 2 · 09:00B. Molka1.311181110113J. Chojnacki3.2061191282LOct 2 · 06:00M. Galus2.151114512153J. Chojnacki1.637121114132
M. Burkacki10
LOct 3 · 13:05M. Burkacki1.929870B. Molka1.801111113WOct 3 · 11:05J. Chojnacki2.4061080M. Burkacki1.501112113LOct 3 · 09:05M. Lysakowski1.361211113M. Burkacki2.9310880WOct 3 · 08:05M. Burkacki2.1081111123S. Wloszek1.651199101LOct 3 · 07:05J. Masternak2.0511148113M. Burkacki1.684121181LOct 2 · 13:00M. Burkacki2.7587100M. Lysakowski1.411111123LOct 2 · 11:00M. Burkacki2.15141011272B. Molka1.621212611113LOct 2 · 09:30M. Burkacki4.7261151172P. Gola1.15116115113LOct 2 · 08:00M. Burkacki2.353911101M. Galus1.5411119123WOct 2 · 06:30M. Burkacki2.751111123M. Lysakowski1.4099100
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