TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Dariusz Wrobel vs Maciej Sinicki 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711118118––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 03:11 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMaciej Sinicki to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
116711118118––
H2H Dariusz Wrobel 7–13 Maciej Sinicki Dariusz Wrobel has won 7 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 03:1154.0%Our read54.6%to break even at 1.83
short by 0.6pp54.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.83 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Sinicki
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-13 in 20
Sinicki
Wrong
gap of 6 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wrobel 1286 vs Sinicki 1340
Sinicki
Wrong
both rated, 54 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wrobel 20% vs Sinicki 80%
Sinicki
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wrobel 40% vs Sinicki 80%
Sinicki
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wrobel +1 · Sinicki +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Sinicki) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sinicki form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWrobel 1.83 / Sinicki 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Sinicki)-0.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13233224
Wrobel1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Oct 01)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Sinicki1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 27)
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWrobel2wins
AwaySinicki8wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSinicki leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWrobel50%2 of 4
AwaySinicki100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wrobel4Sinicki6n = 10Sinicki took 6 of 10
S2Wrobel4Sinicki6n = 10Sinicki took 6 of 10
S3Wrobel5Sinicki5n = 10split evenly
S4Wrobel3Sinicki6n = 9Sinicki took 6 of 9
S5Wrobel0Sinicki3n = 3Sinicki took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWrobelSinickiW − SBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.742.5−3.8per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWrobelSinickiBasisWin rate · lifetime528 / 1097 vs 320 / 72148.1%44.4%528 / 1097 vs 320 / 721Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.736.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SinickiWrobel 1.83/Sinicki 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Sinicki · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wrobel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 1 · 07:40D. Wrobel48109111172M. Sinicki44121164113
LFeb 5 · 00:45D. Wrobel4791111972M. Sinicki46115811113
LFeb 4 · 22:20D. Wrobel38912891M. Sinicki43111011113
LJan 22 · 00:45D. Wrobel34116981M. Sinicki4071111113
WJan 21 · 22:20D. Wrobel3911611113M. Sinicki35811971
WJan 9 · 20:30D. Wrobel4411611163M. Sinicki429118141
LDec 11 · 00:20D. Wrobel3099120M. Sinicki361111143
LDec 10 · 22:00D. Wrobel3811611642M. Sinicki49911711113
LDec 10 · 17:55D. Wrobel28411671M. Sinicki4011711113
LNov 20 · 00:45D. Wrobel411711761M. Sinicki5019911113
D. Wrobel10
WOct 1 · 19:40M. Kowalczyk1.956570D. Wrobel1.751111113LOct 1 · 18:55W. Iwasyszyn1.831211129143D. Wrobel1.871451011122LOct 1 · 18:10D. Wrobel1.8513961482J. Rolak1.8511111112113LOct 1 · 16:35D. Wrobel2.154880A. Myszewski1.631111113LOct 1 · 15:50J. Lamperski1.661111113D. Wrobel2.054550WSep 26 · 08:10J. Rolak2.00781191D. Wrobel1.7011119113LSep 26 · 07:20A. Szoltysek2.00111111163D. Wrobel1.703134141LSep 26 · 05:15M. Misiak1.701111113D. Wrobel2.008750WSep 26 · 04:30B. Wisniewski1.851111391D. Wrobel1.8513611113WSep 26 · 03:00J. Przewlocki1.75117116112D. Wrobel1.95611911133
M. Sinicki10
WSep 27 · 14:40F. Jablonski2.52511791M. Sinicki1.4011311113WSep 27 · 13:30M. Sinicki1.581111113W. Suchecki2.258760LSep 27 · 12:15A. Eliasz2.05129811133M. Sinicki1.701011117112WSep 27 · 11:00T. Pisarczyk1.8541180M. Sinicki1.801113113WSep 27 · 09:25M. Skorski1.95117951M. Sinicki1.7581111113WSep 27 · 07:40F. Jablonski2.404630M. Sinicki1.501111113WSep 27 · 06:55M. Skorski1.9586111182M. Sinicki1.77111189113LSep 27 · 06:05M. Sinicki1.91881281A. Eliasz1.80111110113WSep 27 · 04:30M. Sinicki1.681111113W. Suchecki2.056780WSep 27 · 03:50J. Rolak1.7561111282M. Sinicki1.90116611113
Upcoming Matches
D. Wrobel
M. Sinicki
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.