TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Adam Kosacky vs Ondrej Fiklik 3-1 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119811119117––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:49 and never touched: 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeAdam Kosacky to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Kosacky above · Ondrej Fiklik below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 · our read held Adam Kosacky at 67.9%
77 points played in total.
H2H Adam Kosacky 67–40 Ondrej Fiklik Ondrej Fiklik has won 40 of their 107 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:4967.9%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 3.5pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kosacky
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
67-40 in 107
Kosacky
Correct
gap of 27 in 107, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kosacky 1686 vs Fiklik 1539
Kosacky
Correct
both rated, 147 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kosacky 80% vs Fiklik 0%
Kosacky
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kosacky 80% vs Fiklik 40%
Kosacky
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kosacky +2 · Fiklik -5
Fiklik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Kosacky) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fiklik form (0%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKosacky 1.40 / Fiklik 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Kosacky)-3.5pp (anti-value)
TT Cup · #13230127
Kosacky1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest90%takes the first set · 9 of 10
As favourite64% won 50 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it82% 42 of 51
Fiklik2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 107 of 266
Down 0–1, comes back21% 32 of 151
Down 0–2, comes back13% 12 of 95
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKosacky10wins
AwayFiklik0wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKosacky leads 10–0, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKosacky100%9 of 9
AwayFiklikn = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kosacky9Fiklik1n = 10Kosacky took 9 of 10
S2Kosacky6Fiklik4n = 10Kosacky took 6 of 10
S3Kosacky9Fiklik1n = 10Kosacky took 9 of 10
S4Kosacky2Fiklik3n = 5Fiklik took 3 of 5
S5Kosacky4Fiklik0n = 4Kosacky took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKosackyFiklikK − FBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match42.234.1+8.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKosackyFiklikBasisWin rate · lifetime329 / 588 vs 551 / 120956%45.6%329 / 588 vs 551 / 1209Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.837.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KosackyKosacky 1.40/Fiklik 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Kosacky · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kosacky won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 29 · 19:50A. Kosacky3911116113O. Fiklik23311181
WSep 28 · 19:55A. Kosacky351311113O. Fiklik2711880
WSep 27 · 20:55A. Kosacky511171111113O. Fiklik4481181342
WSep 25 · 18:35A. Kosacky381113143O. Fiklik28511120
WSep 25 · 14:55A. Kosacky351112123O. Fiklik27710100
WSep 13 · 22:00A. Kosacky47116118113O. Fiklik4391141182
WSep 13 · 20:50A. Kosacky541281310113O. Fiklik531011111292
WMay 10 · 19:50A. Kosacky44741111113O. Fiklik4111116672
WApr 27 · 07:25A. Kosacky421120113O. Fiklik2931880
WMar 28 · 20:25A. Kosacky371511113O. Fiklik2613670
A. Kosacky10
WOct 2 · 10:20A. Langer3.251011951A. Kosacky1.3312711113WSep 29 · 21:48M. Kulisek2.50531191A. Kosacky1.5011119113LSep 29 · 20:50M. Kulisek3.0051111113A. Kosacky1.36114581WSep 29 · 19:50A. Kosacky1.4411116113O. Fiklik2.63311181WSep 29 · 18:20M. Sulc3.75814131192A. Kosacky1.251116119113LSep 28 · 22:25A. Kosacky1.67119161042P. Benes2.103111412113WSep 28 · 21:25A. Kosacky1.7391111113P. Benes2.00116881WSep 28 · 19:55O. Fiklik2.6311880A. Kosacky1.441311113WSep 28 · 19:25M. Kulisek2.754870A. Kosacky1.401111113WSep 27 · 22:38M. Kulisek3.0065110A. Kosacky1.361111133
O. Fiklik10
WOct 2 · 12:20A. Langer2.201177101O. Fiklik1.6161111123LOct 2 · 10:50O. Fiklik2.3841111982M. Brozek1.53117911113LSep 30 · 09:58J. Vonasek1.91411116133O. Fiklik1.80115711112LSep 30 · 09:25O. Fiklik1.919111051J. Vonasek1.8011512113LSep 30 · 07:55A. Langer2.2011911113O. Fiklik1.61911791LSep 30 · 07:25V. Hejda Jr2.6312811113O. Fiklik1.441011391WSep 29 · 21:18O. Fiklik1.731111123M. Sulc2.0086100WSep 29 · 20:20M. Sulc2.108112101O. Fiklik1.6711911123LSep 29 · 19:50A. Kosacky1.4411116113O. Fiklik2.63311181LSep 28 · 19:55O. Fiklik2.6311880A. Kosacky1.441311113
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