TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Waldemar Glanowski vs Jakub Nowak 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 1Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012811911––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:54 and never touched: 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeJakub Nowak to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
61 points played in total.
Set by set
1012811911––––
H2H Waldemar Glanowski 6–5 Jakub Nowak Jakub Nowak has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:5454.7%Our read58.8%to break even at 1.70
short by 4.1pp58.8% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.70 they are the same number)
What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.70 (54%)
Nowak
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Glanowski 1265 vs Nowak 1286
Nowak
Correct
both rated, 21 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Glanowski 20% vs Nowak 40%
Nowak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Glanowski 40% vs Nowak 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Glanowski -1 · Nowak -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Nowak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nowak form (40%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGlanowski 2.00 / Nowak 1.70
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Nowak)-4.1pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13221135
Glanowski2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 7 days ago (Sep 24) · back after a break
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog34% won 80 of 236
Down 0–1, comes back16% 20 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 70
Nowak1.70
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 30)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite55% won 71 of 129
Up 2–0, closes it92% 22 of 24
Up 1–0, closes it69% 47 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGlanowski5wins
AwayNowak5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGlanowski50%4 of 8
AwayNowakn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Glanowski8Nowak2n = 10Glanowski took 8 of 10
S2Glanowski2Nowak8n = 10Nowak took 8 of 10
S3Glanowski6Nowak4n = 10Glanowski took 6 of 10
S4Glanowski3Nowak6n = 9Nowak took 6 of 9
S5Glanowski3Nowak3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricGlanowskiNowakG − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match43.744.4−0.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGlanowskiNowakBasisWin rate · lifetime388 / 738 vs 677 / 176552.6%38.4%388 / 738 vs 677 / 1765Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
NowakGlanowski 2.00/Nowak 1.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Nowak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Nowak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 12:20W. Glanowski5911151111113J. Nowak5381713962
LAug 6 · 08:20W. Glanowski341110851J. Nowak3951211113
WJul 21 · 13:55W. Glanowski4281111123J. Nowak381198101
LJul 21 · 06:30W. Glanowski43115116102J. Nowak51911811123
LMar 26 · 17:20W. Glanowski2461170J. Nowak351113113
WMar 26 · 07:45W. Glanowski3611113113J. Nowak29581151
LMar 19 · 15:20W. Glanowski4211811842J. Nowak48911611113
WMar 19 · 07:20W. Glanowski551212119113J. Nowak49101491152
LMar 6 · 13:45W. Glanowski52111112992J. Nowak549131011113
WMar 6 · 11:20W. Glanowski50119118113J. Nowak4881191192
W. Glanowski10
LOct 1 · 06:45R. Niemiec1.65111238113W. Glanowski2.13910111132LSep 24 · 16:20W. Glanowski2.858580P. Kurek1.361111113WSep 24 · 15:05W. Glanowski1.8011117113S. Juzek1.90781191LSep 24 · 13:55W. Glanowski2.7012891152P. Gumulinski1.401011114113LSep 24 · 12:45J. Pruszkowski1.4315813123W. Glanowski2.64131111101LSep 24 · 11:55W. Glanowski2.15781161P. Slosarczyk1.6311113113LSep 24 · 10:20W. Glanowski3.009780J. Pruszkowski1.321111113WSep 24 · 09:05W. Glanowski2.0011115113S. Juzek1.70841161LSep 24 · 07:55W. Glanowski2.0111118792P. Gumulinski1.72791111113WSep 24 · 06:45P. Kurek1.36681171W. Glanowski2.8011116113
J. Nowak10
LSep 30 · 02:35J. Nowak2.0088111162P. Gumulinski1.73111165113LSep 30 · 01:00J. Nowak1.8311119592P. Slosarczyk1.83961111113WSep 29 · 23:45J. Nowak1.911111113O. Sokolowski1.808790LSep 29 · 22:10J. Nowak2.381489111M. Koczyba1.53121111133WSep 29 · 21:00J. Nowak2.5010111110113L. Oracz1.5012761282LSep 29 · 19:40O. Sokolowski1.731114114113J. Nowak2.00712131192WSep 29 · 18:55P. Slosarczyk2.10111141092J. Nowak1.67431112113LSep 29 · 18:10J. Nowak2.2012101171P. Gumulinski1.6114128113WSep 29 · 16:35J. Nowak2.38116114113L. Oracz1.5351161162LSep 29 · 15:50M. Koczyba1.501111143J. Nowak2.5097120
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