TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yevhenii Sokoltsov vs Hryhorii Kulishov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
15139111412118––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:57 and never touched: 67.1% is still 67.1%
Graded at full timeHryhorii Kulishov to win
67.1%
67.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingYevhenii Sokoltsov above · Hryhorii Kulishov below
Set 1 · 15-13
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 14-12
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 93 set 4, 11-8 · our read held Hryhorii Kulishov at 67.1%
93 points played in total.
H2H Yevhenii Sokoltsov 35–58 Hryhorii Kulishov Yevhenii Sokoltsov has won 35 of their 93 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:57What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kulishov
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
35-58 in 93
Kulishov
Wrong
gap of 23 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sokoltsov 1508 vs Kulishov 1548
Kulishov
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sokoltsov 60% vs Kulishov 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sokoltsov 50% vs Kulishov 70%
Kulishov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Sokoltsov +3 · Kulishov +1
Sokoltsov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% · Clear lean (leans Kulishov) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kulishov form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSokoltsov 2.75 / Kulishov 1.40
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Kulishov)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13213630
Sokoltsov2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 54 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back15% 12 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 46
Kulishov1.40
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite64% won 193 of 302
Up 2–0, closes it97% 111 of 115
Up 1–0, closes it76% 149 of 195
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSokoltsov3wins
AwayKulishov7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKulishov leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSokoltsovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKulishov66.7%6 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sokoltsov1Kulishov9n = 10Kulishov took 9 of 10
S2Sokoltsov4Kulishov6n = 10Kulishov took 6 of 10
S3Sokoltsov1Kulishov9n = 10Kulishov took 9 of 10
S4Sokoltsov3Kulishov2n = 5Sokoltsov took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricSokoltsovKulishovS − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match31.838.7−6.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSokoltsovKulishovBasisWin rate · lifetime272 / 556 vs 494 / 94148.9%52.5%272 / 556 vs 494 / 941Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.039.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KulishovSokoltsov 2.75/Kulishov 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Kulishov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sokoltsov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 00:05Y. Sokoltsov198650H. Kulishov331111113
LSep 24 · 13:25Y. Sokoltsov249870H. Kulishov331111113
WSep 22 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov4281112113H. Kulishov361161091
LSep 18 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov156360H. Kulishov331111113
LSep 13 · 22:05Y. Sokoltsov2414550H. Kulishov381611113
WSep 10 · 00:05Y. Sokoltsov531012911113H. Kulishov50121011982
LSep 4 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov239590H. Kulishov331111113
LSep 2 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov371210781H. Kulishov44101211113
WAug 20 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov521011911113H. Kulishov4612911682
LAug 17 · 00:05Y. Sokoltsov29711291H. Kulishov4111811113
Y. Sokoltsov10
WSep 29 · 22:35Y. Sokoltsov1.8311711113D. Kim1.83511981WSep 29 · 21:05Y. Sokoltsov2.001411133S. Khandetskyi1.73125110WSep 28 · 19:25Y. Sokoltsov1.361211810113D. Rehotun3.00108111272LSep 28 · 17:55Y. Sokoltsov2.006811161V. Kobets1.7311117183LSep 28 · 16:25Y. Sokoltsov1.91911391S. Khandetskyi1.8011911113WSep 28 · 14:55Y. Sokoltsov1.571111113A. Peretiatko2.255780LSep 28 · 13:25Y. Sokoltsov3.50412111172K. Hrynenko1.281110133113LSep 28 · 03:05Y. Sokoltsov2.0011117852Y. Stepanchuk1.73871111113WSep 28 · 01:35Y. Sokoltsov1.7311135113D. Kim2.008111181LSep 28 · 00:05Y. Sokoltsov2.758650H. Kulishov1.401111113
H. Kulishov10
WSep 29 · 23:05H. Kulishov1.831111113S. Khandetskyi1.834740LSep 29 · 22:05S. Pitsyk1.8371114123H. Kulishov1.8311812101WSep 29 · 03:35M. Fomin1.73411541H. Kulishov2.0011911113WSep 29 · 02:35M. Skliar2.754150H. Kulishov1.401111113LSep 29 · 01:05M. Polysynskyi2.5091112113H. Kulishov1.501191071WSep 28 · 23:05D. Us2.5011111081H. Kulishov1.5013912113WSep 28 · 21:05D. Kim1.9112691272H. Kulishov1.8010111110113LSep 28 · 04:05H. Kulishov1.83118100S. Khandetskyi1.831311123WSep 28 · 02:05Y. Stepanchuk1.801281181H. Kulishov1.9114119113WSep 28 · 00:05Y. Sokoltsov2.758650H. Kulishov1.401111113
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