TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Mrykh vs Andrii Derevianko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911117211119511
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:24 and never touched: 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeAndrii Derevianko to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
RightSent to Pro: Andrii Derevianko @ 1.61 · Won
How it is goingMaksym Mrykh above · Andrii Derevianko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 87 set 5, 5-11 · our read held Andrii Derevianko at 59.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Mrykh 44–93 Andrii Derevianko Maksym Mrykh has won 44 of their 137 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 07:24What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Derevianko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
44-93 in 137
Derevianko
Correct
gap of 49 in 137, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Mrykh 1671 vs Derevianko 1721
Derevianko
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Mrykh 40% vs Derevianko 60%
Derevianko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Mrykh 40% vs Derevianko 60%
Derevianko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Mrykh -1 · Derevianko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 60% · Slight lean (leans Derevianko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMrykh 2.20 / Derevianko 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Derevianko)+2.0pp
Setka Cup · #13212473
Mrykh2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog48% won 44 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back19% 9 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 22
Derevianko1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite63% won 74 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it92% 34 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it83% 50 of 60
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMrykh6wins
AwayDerevianko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMrykh leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMrykh71.4%5 of 7
AwayDerevianko66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mrykh7Derevianko3n = 10Mrykh took 7 of 10
S2Mrykh5Derevianko5n = 10split evenly
S3Mrykh2Derevianko8n = 10Derevianko took 8 of 10
S4Mrykh4Derevianko5n = 9Derevianko took 5 of 9
S5Mrykh3Derevianko0n = 3Mrykh took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMrykhDereviankoM − DBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.540.9−1.4per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMrykhDereviankoBasisWin rate · lifetime221 / 473 vs 465 / 97846.7%47.6%221 / 473 vs 465 / 978Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
DereviankoMrykh 2.20/Derevianko 1.61
Hit
What we said
59.7%
Derevianko · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Andrii Derevianko @ 1.61 · Won
What happened
2–3
Derevianko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 26 · 08:20M. Mrykh4171211113A. Derevianko351110861
WSep 25 · 07:50M. Mrykh541114116123A. Derevianko54816911102
LSep 24 · 18:00M. Mrykh143740A. Derevianko331111113
WSep 22 · 11:50M. Mrykh4918119113A. Derevianko401661171
LSep 14 · 17:00M. Mrykh36117991A. Derevianko4071111113
WSep 10 · 16:00M. Mrykh4111127113A. Derevianko356101181
LSep 8 · 10:20M. Mrykh338111041A. Derevianko3711312113
WSep 7 · 13:00M. Mrykh47118511123A. Derevianko45711116102
LSep 1 · 10:50M. Mrykh341131191A. Derevianko4271113113
WAug 21 · 09:50M. Mrykh46111239113A. Derevianko48810111182
M. Mrykh10
LSep 29 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.6731011141I. Nitchenko2.1011124163WSep 28 · 16:40V. Maksuta1.501181091M. Mrykh2.5091112113LSep 28 · 15:40M. Mrykh1.67118531O. Strutinskiy2.1091111113WSep 28 · 14:40M. Mrykh1.571111113O. Zhyrnov2.257770LSep 28 · 13:10M. Mrykh1.7311950E. Hrytsenko2.001311113LSep 26 · 11:50O. Seliuchenko1.781111113M. Mrykh1.924490LSep 26 · 10:50M. Mrykh2.3871111662M. Deineha1.53118811113LSep 26 · 09:50M. Mrykh1.5391181182O. Zhyrnov2.38116117113WSep 26 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.2071211113A. Derevianko1.611110861WSep 26 · 06:20M. Mrykh1.91116129113V. Savoliuk1.80911101182
A. Derevianko10
WSep 29 · 06:50A. Derevianko2.2011116113V. Savoliuk1.61851161LSep 28 · 17:40O. Strutinskiy1.7351311123A. Derevianko2.0011118101WSep 28 · 16:10A. Derevianko1.401313133O. Zhyrnov2.751111110LSep 28 · 14:10E. Hrytsenko2.501171111133A. Derevianko1.50611139112WSep 28 · 12:10V. Maksuta2.386116101A. Derevianko1.5311911123WSep 26 · 12:20A. Derevianko1.361011148113O. Zhyrnov3.00126121162WSep 26 · 10:20O. Seliuchenko1.53761181A. Derevianko2.3811117113LSep 26 · 09:20A. Derevianko2.25111111072V. Savoliuk1.57711412113LSep 26 · 08:20M. Mrykh2.2071211113A. Derevianko1.611110861WSep 26 · 06:50A. Derevianko2.1011115113M. Deineha1.67381171
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