TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Frantisek Pusch vs Jiri Ruzicka 1-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
119611911311––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:25 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeFrantisek Pusch to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFrantisek Pusch above · Jiri Ruzicka below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 71 set 4, 3-11 · our read held Frantisek Pusch at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Pusch 4–2 Jiri Ruzicka Jiri Ruzicka has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:25What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Pusch
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
4-2 in 6
Pusch
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pusch 1740 vs Ruzicka 1798
Ruzicka
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pusch 40% vs Ruzicka 80%
Ruzicka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pusch 40% vs Ruzicka 70%
Ruzicka
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pusch +2 · Ruzicka +3
Ruzicka
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Pusch) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ruzicka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPusch 1.73 / Ruzicka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Pusch)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13210387
Pusch1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite57% won 25 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it80% 12 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it73% 19 of 26
Ruzicka2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog39% won 129 of 333
Down 0–1, comes back20% 41 of 210
Down 0–2, comes back6% 7 of 113
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomePusch4wins
AwayRuzicka2wins
4 of 6 to a deciderPusch leads 4–2, and 4 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePusch75%3 of 4
AwayRuzickan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pusch4Ruzicka2n = 6Pusch took 4 of 6
S2Pusch3Ruzicka3n = 6split evenly
S3Pusch2Ruzicka4n = 6Ruzicka took 4 of 6
S4Pusch2Ruzicka2n = 4split evenly
S5Pusch3Ruzicka1n = 4Pusch took 3 of 4
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home350%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricPuschRuzickaP − RBasisWins42+2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match40.037.8+2.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPuschRuzickaBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 162 vs 697 / 142754.3%48.8%88 / 162 vs 697 / 1427Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.538.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PuschPusch 1.73/Ruzicka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Pusch · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Ruzicka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 28 · 14:30F. Pusch551191311113J. Ruzicka4141115292
LSep 28 · 12:00F. Pusch4011135472J. Ruzicka506111111113
WSep 8 · 13:30F. Pusch331111113J. Ruzicka194870
WSep 8 · 12:00F. Pusch48611116143J. Ruzicka49117811122
WSep 8 · 09:30F. Pusch48117811113J. Ruzicka3551111262
LSep 8 · 07:00F. Pusch169070J. Ruzicka331111113
F. Pusch10
WSep 29 · 11:00F. Pusch2.38119117113R. Urbaniec1.5371141142WSep 29 · 10:00O. Kolisnyk1.6171111872F. Pusch2.20119611113LSep 28 · 16:58F. Pusch1.91711291V. Nohejl1.8011611113LSep 28 · 16:30V. Nohejl1.911111611113F. Pusch1.8013911782LSep 28 · 15:30F. Pusch2.25791181O. Kolisnyk1.5711119113WSep 28 · 14:30J. Ruzicka2.0041115292F. Pusch1.731191311113LSep 28 · 13:00F. Pusch2.101212861R. Urbaniec1.67141011113LSep 28 · 12:00F. Pusch1.6711135472J. Ruzicka2.106111111113LSep 28 · 11:30R. Rose1.5711119113F. Pusch2.25691121WSep 28 · 10:00F. Pusch2.3811912113R. Urbaniec1.538111011
J. Ruzicka10
WSep 29 · 11:30J. Ruzicka1.73111011123O. Kolisnyk2.007127101WSep 29 · 10:30R. Urbaniec2.3812123372J. Ruzicka1.5310101111113WSep 28 · 17:30O. Kolisnyk2.0081160J. Ruzicka1.731113113LSep 28 · 16:00O. Kolisnyk2.00119117113J. Ruzicka1.7391161162WSep 28 · 15:00V. Nohejl1.8311119742J. Ruzicka1.83871111113LSep 28 · 14:30J. Ruzicka2.0041115292F. Pusch1.731191311113LSep 28 · 13:30J. Ruzicka1.45611981R. Rose2.5511911113WSep 28 · 12:00F. Pusch1.6711135472J. Ruzicka2.106111111113WSep 28 · 11:00R. Urbaniec2.63116691J. Ruzicka1.4481111113WSep 28 · 10:30J. Ruzicka1.5051111113R. Rose2.50116981
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