TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Yaroslav Vorsuliak vs Oleksandr Storozhenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711911117311––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYaroslav Vorsuliak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
WrongSent to Pro: Yaroslav Vorsuliak @ 1.73 · Lost
How it is goingYaroslav Vorsuliak above · Oleksandr Storozhenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 3-11
Point 70 set 4, 3-11 — our read held Yaroslav Vorsuliak at 54.0%
70 points played in total.
H2H Yaroslav Vorsuliak 3–1 Oleksandr Storozhenko Oleksandr Storozhenko has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 09:38What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Vorsuliak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Vorsuliak
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vorsuliak 1633 vs Storozhenko 1588
Vorsuliak
Wrong
both rated, 44 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vorsuliak 80% vs Storozhenko 60%
Vorsuliak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vorsuliak 60% vs Storozhenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vorsuliak +1 · Storozhenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Vorsuliak) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vorsuliak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVorsuliak 1.73 / Storozhenko 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Vorsuliak)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13208259
Vorsuliak1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 108 of 175
Up 2–0, closes it90% 47 of 52
Up 1–0, closes it79% 79 of 100
Storozhenko2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog47% won 53 of 112
Down 0–1, comes back28% 19 of 69
Down 0–2, comes back14% 5 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeVorsuliak3wins
AwayStorozhenko1wins
3 of 4 to a deciderVorsuliak leads 3–1, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVorsuliak75%3 of 4
AwayStorozhenkon = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vorsuliak4Storozhenko0n = 4Vorsuliak took 4 of 4
S2Vorsuliak3Storozhenko1n = 4Vorsuliak took 3 of 4
S3Vorsuliak2Storozhenko2n = 4split evenly
S4Vorsuliak0Storozhenko3n = 3Storozhenko took 3 of 3
S5Vorsuliak2Storozhenko1n = 3Vorsuliak took 2 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricVorsuliakStorozhenkoV − SBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set40+4of 4Avg pointsper match50.043.0+7.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVorsuliakStorozhenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 883 vs 283 / 54049.9%52.4%441 / 883 vs 283 / 540Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.139.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VorsuliakVorsuliak 1.73/Storozhenko 2.00
Miss
What we said
54%
Vorsuliak · sealed before the serve
Sent to Pro: Yaroslav Vorsuliak @ 1.73 · Lost
What happened
1–3
Storozhenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WAug 24 · 06:35Y. Vorsuliak361111143O. Storozhenko2897120
LAug 23 · 01:30Y. Vorsuliak531111131082O. Storozhenko49741512113
WApr 30 · 22:05Y. Vorsuliak541191112113O. Storozhenko4451191452
WMar 26 · 23:15Y. Vorsuliak571111168113O. Storozhenko5176181192
Y. Vorsuliak10
LSep 28 · 11:35D. Shchegelskyi2.2511118113Y. Vorsuliak1.57971181WSep 28 · 08:05Y. Tebenko2.00510140Y. Vorsuliak1.731112163LSep 28 · 06:05Y. Parahailo2.251111911153Y. Vorsuliak1.57135117132WSep 28 · 05:05M. Khomenko2.2511116282Y. Vorsuliak1.57841111113WSep 27 · 19:05D. Shchegelskyi2.2561141142Y. Vorsuliak1.57116119113WSep 27 · 17:35Y. Vorsuliak1.57791112113Y. Parahailo2.25111191082LSep 27 · 15:35M. Khomenko2.501113143Y. Vorsuliak1.50811120WSep 27 · 13:35R. Novak2.75991181Y. Vorsuliak1.4011119113LSep 27 · 12:35Y. Kolos2.201111107113Y. Vorsuliak1.6185121172LSep 27 · 02:30Y. Tebenko2.00101112113Y. Vorsuliak1.731291091
O. Storozhenko10
WSep 28 · 11:05Y. Tebenko1.9111991192O. Storozhenko1.80911117113LSep 28 · 08:35M. Khomenko1.671111113O. Storozhenko2.107550WSep 28 · 06:35D. Shchegelskyi1.83135131372O. Storozhenko1.8311111511113LSep 28 · 04:35Y. Parahailo1.80121117113O. Storozhenko1.911091961WSep 26 · 10:55O. Storozhenko1.571111133M. Potapov2.2578110WSep 26 · 08:55T. Gil2.2511711572O. Storozhenko1.57311411113LSep 26 · 07:55O. Storozhenko1.67610120D. Maltsev2.101112143LSep 26 · 06:55I. Pytsko2.25131112113O. Storozhenko1.571161481WSep 26 · 05:25O. Storozhenko1.67141134123V. Moshovskyi2.101281111102WSep 25 · 18:25Y. Tebenko1.8371181182O. Storozhenko1.83119115113
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