TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Andrzej Szurgot vs Henryk Tkaczyk 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911911––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:57 and never touched — 92.4% is still 92.4%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
92.4%
92.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrzej Szurgot above · Henryk Tkaczyk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 57 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Henryk Tkaczyk at 92.4%
57 points played in total.
H2H Andrzej Szurgot 0–2 Henryk Tkaczyk Andrzej Szurgot has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Tkaczyk beat Szurgot 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:57What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.03 (91%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Szurgot 1120 vs Tkaczyk 1469
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 349 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Szurgot 40% vs Tkaczyk 80%
Tkaczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Szurgot 20% vs Tkaczyk 60%
Tkaczyk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Szurgot -3 · Tkaczyk +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 92% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (80%) is below what odds imply (97%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzurgot 10.00 / Tkaczyk 1.03
Signal prob.8% / 92%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+1.7pp
TT Elite Series · #13200860
Szurgot10.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog19% won 19 of 101
Down 0–1, comes back12% 9 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 52
Tkaczyk1.03
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 401 of 578
Up 2–0, closes it93% 223 of 240
Up 1–0, closes it84% 308 of 365
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSzurgot0wins
AwayTkaczyk2wins
Tkaczyk leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricSzurgotTkaczykS − TBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match18.033.0−15.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzurgotTkaczykBasisWin rate · lifetime26 / 128 vs 1017 / 150220.3%67.7%26 / 128 vs 1017 / 1502Avg sets wonper match1.12.4per matchAvg pointsper match31.038.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykSzurgot 10.00/Tkaczyk 1.03
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
92.4%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 28 · 00:10A. Szurgot246990H. Tkaczyk331111113
LSep 27 · 20:30A. Szurgot125610H. Tkaczyk331111113
A. Szurgot10
LSep 27 · 22:35A. Szurgot2.638111141G. Mucha1.4411136113LSep 27 · 21:45A. Kubiak1.6711116113A. Szurgot2.10791161LSep 27 · 20:30A. Szurgot4.505610H. Tkaczyk1.171111113WSep 27 · 18:55A. Szurgot3.4011611133A. Krezel1.306119111WSep 27 · 17:45A. Szurgot2.631111113A. Kubiak1.445770LSep 27 · 16:15A. Szurgot2.75891161M. Lewczuk1.4011117113LSep 27 · 15:00A. Szurgot2.63111187122G. Mucha1.44871111143LSep 27 · 02:10P. Gesiarz1.801111143A. Szurgot1.9189120LSep 27 · 01:25K. Malcher1.611111113A. Szurgot2.209770LSep 26 · 23:20J. Slawomir1.5711118113A. Szurgot2.25891171
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 27 · 22:55A. Kubiak2.63891171H. Tkaczyk1.4411118113WSep 27 · 21:20M. Lewczuk2.258111481H. Tkaczyk1.5711516113WSep 27 · 20:30A. Szurgot4.505610H. Tkaczyk1.171111113WSep 27 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk1.25411911113G. Mucha3.7511411782LSep 27 · 18:10A. Krezel3.001111113H. Tkaczyk1.363980LSep 27 · 16:55A. Kubiak2.631211113H. Tkaczyk1.4410950WSep 27 · 15:25M. Lewczuk2.5071111952H. Tkaczyk1.50119711113LSep 27 · 05:05L. Bernacki2.50111210113H. Tkaczyk1.477101281LSep 27 · 03:55H. Tkaczyk1.13111189132J. Michalski5.50541111153WSep 27 · 02:45R. Wiza3.3051080H. Tkaczyk1.271112113
Upcoming Matches
A. Szurgot
H. Tkaczyk
Sep 28 · 01:25H. Tkaczyk1.30G. Mucha3.40—Sep 28 · 02:35H. Tkaczyk1.50A. Krezel2.50—Sep 28 · 15:00H. Tkaczyk—Z. Nocun——Sep 28 · 16:15H. Tkaczyk—M. Lewczuk——Sep 28 · 17:45H. Tkaczyk—A. Krezel——Sep 28 · 18:55H. Tkaczyk—A. Skupinski——Sep 28 · 20:30H. Tkaczyk—K. Kwiatkowski——Sep 28 · 21:45H. Tkaczyk—A. Krezel——Sep 28 · 22:30H. Tkaczyk—Z. Nocun——Sep 28 · 23:50H. Tkaczyk—K. Kwiatkowski——
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