TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Romanenko vs Oleksii Rodin 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115118711118––
Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:25 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOleksii Rodin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Romanenko above · Oleksii Rodin below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 72 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Oleksii Rodin at 54.0%
72 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Romanenko 0–1 Oleksii Rodin Andrii Romanenko has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:25What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Rodin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Romanenko 1717 vs Rodin 1715
Romanenko
Correct
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Romanenko 40% vs Rodin 80%
Rodin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Romanenko 50% vs Rodin 70%
Rodin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Romanenko +1 · Rodin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Rodin)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rodin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRomanenko 2.00 / Rodin 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Rodin)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13197169
Romanenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 24)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 75 of 197
Down 0–1, comes back21% 25 of 117
Down 0–2, comes back11% 7 of 63
Rodin1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 25)
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 150 of 243
Up 2–0, closes it95% 74 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it79% 102 of 130
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeRomanenko0wins
AwayRodin1wins
Rodin leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricRomanenkoRodinRomanenko − RodinBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match29.039.0−10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricRomanenkoRodinBasisWin rate · lifetime311 / 583 vs 199 / 33653.3%59.2%311 / 583 vs 199 / 336Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RodinRomanenko 2.00/Rodin 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Rodin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Romanenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 3 · 19:05A. Romanenko29661161O. Rodin3911116113
A. Romanenko10
WSep 24 · 11:35I. Sukovatyi1.61188741A. Romanenko2.20161111113LSep 24 · 10:05A. Romanenko2.50911481O. Pohonov1.5011811113LSep 24 · 08:05G. Kuzmenko3.001111113A. Romanenko1.366880WSep 24 · 06:05B. Chaikovskyi1.5061211792A. Romanenko2.501110611113LSep 24 · 05:05V. Zharskiy2.6341111113A. Romanenko1.44117761LSep 23 · 19:05A. Romanenko2.2511118942I. Sukovatyi1.57921111113WSep 23 · 17:05O. Pohonov1.509980A. Romanenko2.501111113WSep 23 · 15:05V. Zharskiy2.509860A. Romanenko1.501111113LSep 23 · 14:05A. Romanenko2.508111251B. Chaikovskyi1.5011814113WSep 23 · 13:05G. Kuzmenko3.2512812872A. Romanenko1.3310111011113
O. Rodin10
WSep 25 · 11:35V. Slozka1.83111251192O. Rodin1.83714117113WSep 25 · 10:05O. Rodin1.8314911113V. Krokhmal1.831211991LSep 25 · 08:05A. Nazrin2.3811611113O. Rodin1.53611531WSep 25 · 06:05I. Hrekh1.5081050O. Rodin2.501112113WSep 25 · 05:05M. Loboda1.91112841O. Rodin1.8091111113LSep 24 · 18:35I. Hrekh1.50131112113O. Rodin2.501131481LSep 24 · 17:35V. Slozka1.91119115113O. Rodin1.8091161172WSep 24 · 16:05M. Loboda1.738790O. Rodin2.001111113WSep 24 · 14:05V. Krokhmal2.2011621292O. Rodin1.616111110113WSep 24 · 12:05A. Nazrin1.80771171O. Rodin1.9111119113
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