TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Lukasz Buklat vs Piotr Kedzierski 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Lukasz Buklat
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11691111910121210
Piotr Kedzierski
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:04 and never touched — 70.3% is still 70.3%
Graded at full timeLukasz Buklat to win
70.3%
70.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
101 points played in total.
Set by set
11691111910121210
H2H Lukasz Buklat 16–8 Piotr Kedzierski Piotr Kedzierski has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:04What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (69%)
Buklat
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-8 in 24
Buklat
Correct
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Buklat 1532 vs Kedzierski 1322
Buklat
Correct
both rated, 210 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Buklat 80% vs Kedzierski 0%
Buklat
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Buklat 70% vs Kedzierski 10%
Buklat
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Buklat +4 · Kedzierski -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Buklat) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kedzierski form (0%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBuklat 1.33 / Kedzierski 3.00
Signal prob.73% / 27%
Edge (Buklat)+4.0pp
TT Cup · #13189978
Buklat1.33
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite59% won 69 of 117
Up 2–0, closes it100% 35 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it78% 50 of 64
Kedzierski3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog34% won 40 of 117
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 43
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBuklat6wins
AwayKedzierski4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderBuklat leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBuklat66.7%4 of 6
AwayKedzierski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Buklat6Kedzierski4n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S2Buklat6Kedzierski4n = 10Buklat took 6 of 10
S3Buklat8Kedzierski2n = 10Buklat took 8 of 10
S4Buklat2Kedzierski5n = 7Kedzierski took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricBuklatKedzierskiB − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.036.3+1.7per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBuklatKedzierskiBasisWin rate · lifetime260 / 451 vs 178 / 46457.7%38.4%260 / 451 vs 178 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.21.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BuklatBuklat 1.33/Kedzierski 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.3%
Buklat · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Buklat won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 23 · 21:30L. Buklat331111113P. Kedzierski258890
WSep 23 · 16:30L. Buklat3851111113P. Kedzierski31118661
WAug 26 · 19:00L. Buklat331111113P. Kedzierski248790
WAug 15 · 23:05L. Buklat45101113113P. Kedzierski341271141
LAug 15 · 16:35L. Buklat361610821P. Kedzierski48141211113
WJul 7 · 16:00L. Buklat331111113P. Kedzierski175750
LJun 24 · 19:00L. Buklat48116119112P. Kedzierski51811811133
LMay 13 · 16:00L. Buklat36911791P. Kedzierski4111811113
WJan 19 · 17:30L. Buklat551191110143P. Kedzierski50711812122
LJan 10 · 13:35L. Buklat23251151P. Kedzierski4211119113
L. Buklat10
WSep 24 · 18:30J. Komorowicz2.653117101L. Buklat1.3611911123WSep 24 · 16:30D. Kovtanyuk2.509131191L. Buklat1.4711156113WSep 24 · 16:00L. Buklat1.371111113S. Toborek2.871670WSep 23 · 21:30L. Buklat—1111113P. Kedzierski—8890WSep 23 · 20:30L. Buklat2.041115113K. Patryk1.6271370LSep 23 · 18:30K. Kos2.0511118113L. Buklat1.66951121LSep 23 · 17:30L. Buklat1.401113981J. Komorowicz2.7581511113WSep 23 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.10118661L. Buklat1.3351111113LSep 23 · 16:00L. Buklat2.50121191172J. Caban1.48146115113WSep 21 · 22:30L. Buklat1.5811612113J. Caban2.254111081
P. Kedzierski10
LSep 24 · 15:00J. Komorowicz2.05911711143P. Kedzierski1.69114118122LSep 24 · 14:30D. Kovtanyuk1.6011118113P. Kedzierski2.10961191LSep 23 · 21:30L. Buklat—1111113P. Kedzierski—8890LSep 23 · 20:00K. Kos1.401112113P. Kedzierski2.7591060LSep 23 · 19:00P. Kedzierski2.731114791J. Caban1.4081611113WSep 23 · 18:00P. Kedzierski3.2011119123K. Patryk1.326711101LSep 23 · 16:30P. Kedzierski3.10118661L. Buklat1.3351111113LSep 23 · 14:30P. Kedzierski2.05771112102J. Komorowicz1.701111810123LSep 22 · 22:30K. Patryk1.3791111113P. Kedzierski2.60115871LSep 22 · 20:00J. Komorowicz1.8211119113P. Kedzierski1.88991191
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