TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 20Finished
Maciej Sinicki
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
201812101012115––
Dawid Poloszczanski
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:25 and never touched — 55.7% is still 55.7%
Graded at full timeMaciej Sinicki to win
55.7%
55.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
201812101012115––
H2H Maciej Sinicki 34–25 Dawid Poloszczanski Dawid Poloszczanski has won 25 of their 59 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 5h before this match
Poloszczanski beat Sinicki 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:25What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Sinicki
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-25 in 59
Sinicki
Correct
gap of 9 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Sinicki 1303 vs Poloszczanski 1404
Poloszczanski
Wrong
both rated, 101 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Sinicki 60% vs Poloszczanski 100%
Poloszczanski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Sinicki 60% vs Poloszczanski 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Sinicki -1 · Poloszczanski +6
Poloszczanski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Poloszczanski) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Poloszczanski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSinicki 1.71 / Poloszczanski 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Poloszczanski)+7.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13163095
Sinicki1.71
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite57% won 55 of 97
Up 2–0, closes it84% 21 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it70% 44 of 63
Poloszczanski2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog39% won 122 of 312
Down 0–1, comes back22% 40 of 181
Down 0–2, comes back5% 5 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSinicki3wins
AwayPoloszczanski7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPoloszczanski leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSinicki16.7%1 of 6
AwayPoloszczanski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Sinicki6Poloszczanski4n = 10Sinicki took 6 of 10
S2Sinicki5Poloszczanski5n = 10split evenly
S3Sinicki3Poloszczanski7n = 10Poloszczanski took 7 of 10
S4Sinicki5Poloszczanski4n = 9Sinicki took 5 of 9
S5Sinicki1Poloszczanski5n = 6Poloszczanski took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSinickiPoloszczanskiS − PBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match43.443.40.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSinickiPoloszczanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 738 vs 341 / 83143.1%41%318 / 738 vs 341 / 831Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PoloszczanskiSinicki 1.71/Poloszczanski 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Poloszczanski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Sinicki won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 20 · 08:35M. Sinicki5510111111122D. Poloszczanski48121138143
LSep 13 · 04:10M. Sinicki51111113792D. Poloszczanski471131111113
WAug 16 · 14:20M. Sinicki4181111113D. Poloszczanski30117391
LAug 1 · 03:50M. Sinicki33117691D. Poloszczanski4181111113
LJun 14 · 12:15M. Sinicki215790D. Poloszczanski331111113
LMay 31 · 12:15M. Sinicki4111118742D. Poloszczanski47861111113
LMay 31 · 04:55M. Sinicki531381111102D. Poloszczanski541111137123
LMay 24 · 03:00M. Sinicki531381011112D. Poloszczanski491111122133
WMay 9 · 14:20M. Sinicki46711134113D. Poloszczanski49119111172
WMay 3 · 11:00M. Sinicki4011115133D. Poloszczanski369511111
M. Sinicki10
LSep 20 · 12:40M. Sinicki4.501012461J. Pruszkowski1.17121011113LSep 20 · 11:25M. Sinicki1.766780M. Skorski1.901111113WSep 20 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.106990M. Sinicki1.661111113WSep 20 · 09:25M. Sinicki1.87121111133A. Eliasz1.831478111LSep 20 · 08:35M. Sinicki1.7510111111122D. Poloszczanski1.90121138143WSep 20 · 06:55M. Sinicki1.8314711143J. Rolak1.8712116121WSep 20 · 05:40M. Sinicki1.73111211113B. Wisniewski1.98614881LSep 20 · 04:10M. Sinicki1.76681181M. Skorski1.9011117113LSep 20 · 03:00M. Sinicki4.354980J. Pruszkowski1.111111113WSep 13 · 13:55M. Sinicki1.6011811113A. Eliasz2.10811991
D. Poloszczanski10
WSep 20 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.865890D. Poloszczanski1.801111113LSep 20 · 12:15D. Poloszczanski1.839131211112A. Eliasz1.861115106133WSep 20 · 10:35D. Poloszczanski1.851110128113M. Skorski1.85812101192WSep 20 · 09:50J. Pruszkowski1.0868100D. Poloszczanski4.901111123WSep 20 · 08:35M. Sinicki1.7510111111122D. Poloszczanski1.90121138143WSep 20 · 07:20D. Poloszczanski3.951111113J. Pruszkowski1.207790WSep 20 · 06:05J. Rolak1.905131110102D. Poloszczanski1.761111712123LSep 20 · 04:55B. Wisniewski1.8311511113D. Poloszczanski1.86911821LSep 20 · 03:25M. Skorski1.888111211123D. Poloszczanski1.82115147102WSep 19 · 14:20D. Poloszczanski2.051111113A. Szoltysek1.669860
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