TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana
Junsong Chen vs Tianyang Li 1-3 · WTT Star Contender Astana
WTT Star Contender Astana
Played Sep 18Finished
Junsong Chen
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611119311611––
Tianyang Li
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:38 and never touched — 61.1% is still 61.1%
Graded at full timeTianyang Li to win
61.1%
61.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJunsong Chen above · Tianyang Li below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 68 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Tianyang Li at 61.1%
68 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Li
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Chen 40% vs Li 80%
Li
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chen 40% vs Li 70%
Li
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chen -3 · Li +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Li) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChen 3.00 / Li 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Li)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana · #13147617
Chen3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Li1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChenLiBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 7 / 1040%70%4 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.92.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LiChen 3.00/Li 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Li · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Li won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Chen10
LAug 10 · 11:45O. Assar3.50111567113J. Chen1.28913111172LJun 18 · 04:00J. Chen1.251210111392M. Shah3.7510121311113LJun 13 · 10:45J. Chen2.0010690J. An1.731211113WJun 12 · 16:20S. Lin1.17119911142J. Chen4.50711115163WJun 10 · 23:00Y. Tanaka3.4081114872J. Chen1.301141211113LFeb 23 · 05:10J. Chen3.4015911492T. Harimoto1.301311511113LJan 30 · 16:25R. Yoshiyama—111J. Chen—70LJan 30 · 16:25R. Yoshiyama2.7511118113J. Chen1.40751181WJan 30 · 10:20M. Abdulwahhab13.003660J. Chen1.011111113WJan 29 · 15:55T. Preechayan8.507770J. Chen1.051111113
T. Li10
LSep 20 · 08:00T. Li2.25119971D. Qiu1.5791111113WSep 19 · 14:35F. Coton1.6791070T. Li2.101112113WSep 19 · 06:45T. Li2.381911113D. Jorgic1.5317850WSep 17 · 15:30L. Bardet2.101157101T. Li1.6771111123WSep 16 · 14:35T. Li1.401111113M. Grebnev2.753970WSep 16 · 06:35T. Li1.021111113K. Kabdyluakhitov10.502540LJun 17 · 11:20F. Zeljko2.75611411113T. Li1.4011711762WJun 16 · 15:35T. Li1.401112113R. Sipos2.7581060LJun 10 · 11:30W. Verdonschot2.63118119113T. Li1.4471171192WJun 9 · 13:00T. Li1.5391111113V. Ursu2.38116891
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