TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Astana Quals
WTT Star Contender Astana QualsMatch #13141821
Played Sep 17Finished
Lilian Bardet
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1175117111012––
Tianyang Li
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:22 and never touched — 64.7% is still 64.7%
Graded at full timeTianyang Li to win
64.7%
64.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingLilian Bardet above · Tianyang Li below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 10-11
Point 73 set 4, 10-11 — our read held Tianyang Li at 64.7%
73 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:22What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Li
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Bardet 20% vs Li 60%
Li
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Bardet 30% vs Li 70%
Li
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Bardet -2 · Li +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Li) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bardet form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBardet 2.10 / Li 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Li)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Astana Quals · #13141821
Bardet2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Li1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricBardetLiBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 7 / 1030%70%3 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.42.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LiBardet 2.10/Li 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55.8%
Li · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Li won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Bardet10
LAug 10 · 11:45L. Bardet4.50561141R. Wen1.1711112113LJul 1 · 21:20L. Bardet4.50107110T. Harimoto1.171211133WJun 29 · 19:00E. Ionescu1.7311761482L. Bardet2.007111112113LJun 18 · 16:10L. Bardet1.651411981O. Assar2.05121311113LJun 18 · 04:00L. Bardet1.671411981O. Assar2.10121311113LJun 4 · 16:40G. Park1.307111111133L. Bardet3.40111365112LMay 23 · 10:45L. Bardet3.00413120J. Oh1.361115143WMay 22 · 16:45L. Bardet1.441111113A. Istrate2.639560WMay 21 · 10:35L. Bardet1.321111113T. Mati3.004480LApr 20 · 17:00L. Bardet1.6492110A. Abbasi2.081111133
T. Li10
WSep 16 · 14:35T. Li1.401111113M. Grebnev2.753970WSep 16 · 06:35T. Li1.021111113K. Kabdyluakhitov10.502540LJun 17 · 11:20F. Zeljko2.75611411113T. Li1.4011711762WJun 16 · 15:35T. Li1.401112113R. Sipos2.7581060LJun 10 · 11:30W. Verdonschot2.63118119113T. Li1.4471171192WJun 9 · 13:00T. Li1.5391111113V. Ursu2.38116891WJun 9 · 08:40A. Doyen—113971T. Li—81111113LApr 11 · 10:45T. Li4.50811121162R. Wen1.17116148113WApr 11 · 04:10Y. Sakai1.807670T. Li1.911111113WApr 10 · 09:00T. Li4.331111123Y. Chen1.2079100
Upcoming Matches
L. Bardet
Nothing scheduled
T. Li
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