TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Panagyurishte
WTT Contender PanagyurishteMatch #13098445
Played Sep 8Finished
Niagol Stoyanov
Home
1.30
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911911112115115
Federico Vallino
Away
3.40
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:02 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeNiagol Stoyanov to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingNiagol Stoyanov above · Federico Vallino below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-2
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 85 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Niagol Stoyanov at 68.8%
85 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:02What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.30 (72%)
Stoyanov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Stoyanov 20% vs Vallino 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stoyanov 50% vs Vallino 30%
Stoyanov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stoyanov -4 · Vallino -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Stoyanov) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Stoyanov form (20%) is below what odds imply (77%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStoyanov 1.30 / Vallino 3.40
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Stoyanov)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Panagyurishte · #13098445
Stoyanov1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Vallino3.40
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStoyanovVallinoBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 3 / 1050%30%5 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.31.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StoyanovStoyanov 1.30/Vallino 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.3%
Stoyanov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Stoyanov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
N. Stoyanov10
LSep 9 · 09:05N. Stoyanov1.577116161R. Brard2.2511411183WSep 8 · 14:40N. Stoyanov1.34991111113F. Vallino2.9011112552LAug 8 · 09:20I. Ban1.571011118113N. Stoyanov2.2512451182LJun 10 · 01:50N. Stoyanov2.30751181K. Yiu1.5511115113LJun 9 · 16:30N. Stoyanov2.25751181K. Yiu1.5711115113LMay 24 · 08:35N. Stoyanov2.20117101182C. Nuytinck1.61911127113WMay 23 · 16:50Y. Lin1.259970N. Stoyanov3.751111113WMay 23 · 11:20N. Stoyanov3.4071311113F. Bourrassaud1.301111961WMay 22 · 10:05B. Fruchart2.20124961N. Stoyanov1.61101111113LApr 21 · 17:25L. Pistej1.281013116133N. Stoyanov3.501211911112
F. Vallino10
LSep 8 · 14:40N. Stoyanov1.34991111113F. Vallino2.9011112552LSep 8 · 11:40R. Brard1.4411511113F. Vallino2.63711771LJun 10 · 05:55F. Vallino5.80139891M. Allegro1.09111111113LJun 9 · 18:15F. Vallino4.50139891M. Allegro1.17111111113LMar 9 · 11:55H. Woo1.11111011113F. Vallino6.00612581WMar 8 · 10:20F. Vallino—61113113H. Lee—1181191WMar 7 · 16:05F. Vallino—131240113A. Tomica—1110111162WMar 7 · 10:20F. Vallino—11911113D. Zelko—811951LDec 1 · 12:30K. Tokuda1.1111711113F. Vallino6.00911961LNov 6 · 10:20J. Chua1.273F. Vallino3.401
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