TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals
WTT Contender Almaty Women QualsMatch #13065656
Played Sep 3Finished
Swastika Ghosh
Home
6.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1311117511117––
Miyuu Kihara
Away
1.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiyuu Kihara to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSwastika Ghosh above · Miyuu Kihara below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 76 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Miyuu Kihara at 54.0%
76 points played in total.
H2H Swastika Ghosh 1–0 Miyuu Kihara Miyuu Kihara has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:29What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.10 (86%)
Kihara
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Ghosh 60% vs Kihara 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ghosh 70% vs Kihara 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ghosh +2 · Kihara -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Kihara) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kihara form (60%) is below what odds imply (91%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGhosh 6.50 / Kihara 1.10
Signal prob.15% / 86%
Edge (Kihara)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Women Quals · #13065656
Ghosh6.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Kihara1.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeGhosh1wins
AwayKihara0wins
Ghosh leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricGhoshKiharaG − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match40.036.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGhoshKiharaBasisWin rate · lifetime6 / 10 vs 7 / 1060%70%6 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.12.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KiharaGhosh 6.50/Kihara 1.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
85.5%
Kihara · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ghosh won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 3 · 13:55S. Ghosh—13115113M. Kihara—1171171
S. Ghosh10
LSep 4 · 12:45V. Voronina1.731111113S. Ghosh2.007560WSep 2 · 12:45D. Fu9.006490S. Ghosh1.041111113LJul 4 · 09:10S. Ghosh1.601231A. Slautina2.2010111WJul 3 · 15:15S. Ghosh1.4411119113P. Chasselin2.63591181LJun 3 · 08:35C. Kallberg1.911111113S. Ghosh1.806070WJun 1 · 15:00S. Ghosh1.2011116113M. Carnovale4.33391191LMay 29 · 16:15S. Ghosh1.4065111172D. Bhowmick2.75111189113LMay 24 · 09:10S. Ghosh4.3332130Y. Yeh1.201111153WMay 23 · 17:20Y. Wan—116951S. Ghosh—21111113WMay 23 · 15:40S. Ghosh1.2271111123L. Massart4.001199101
M. Kihara10
LAug 14 · 12:05X. Shi1.4411611113M. Kihara2.63611441WAug 13 · 18:20M. Kihara5.5010121011113X. Chen1.13121012372WAug 10 · 11:10H. Doo3.40911191M. Kihara1.3011911113LJun 20 · 15:00Y. Shin2.00312611113M. Kihara1.73111011462WJun 20 · 09:35S. Aoki2.759990M. Kihara1.401111113WJun 20 · 03:40M. Kihara1.98111111113Y. Chen1.70913781WJun 18 · 04:00M. Kihara1.141111113N. Bajor5.007650LJun 13 · 09:35M. Kihara2.386151121Y. Zhu1.5311179113WJun 12 · 15:00M. Kihara1.3310111110113H. Doo3.2512521242WJun 11 · 16:10M. Kihara1.171111113F. Yu4.508550
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