TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12414886
Played Aug 13Finished
Miyuu Kihara
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
101212101012113117
Xingtong Chen
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:21 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeXingtong Chen to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingMiyuu Kihara above · Xingtong Chen below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 10-6
Point 96 set 5, 10-6 — our read held Xingtong Chen at 54.0%
96 points drawn · the score is 2 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Miyuu Kihara 1–0 Xingtong Chen Xingtong Chen has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:21What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Chen
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Kihara 80% vs Chen 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kihara 70% vs Chen 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kihara +1 · Chen +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Chen) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kihara form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (18%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKihara 5.50 / Chen 1.13
Signal prob.17% / 83%
Edge (Chen)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12414886
Kihara5.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Chen1.13
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKihara1wins
AwayChen0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderKihara leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricKiharaChenK − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match53.043.0+10.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKiharaChenBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 8 / 1070%80%7 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChenKihara 5.50/Chen 1.13
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
83%
Chen · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kihara won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WAug 13 · 18:20M. Kihara—10121011103X. Chen—121012362
M. Kihara10
LSep 3 · 13:55S. Ghosh6.5013115113M. Kihara1.101171171LAug 14 · 12:05X. Shi1.4411611113M. Kihara2.63611441WAug 10 · 11:10H. Doo3.40911191M. Kihara1.3011911113LJun 20 · 15:00Y. Shin2.00312611113M. Kihara1.73111011462WJun 20 · 09:35S. Aoki2.759990M. Kihara1.401111113WJun 20 · 03:40M. Kihara1.98111111113Y. Chen1.70913781WJun 18 · 04:00M. Kihara1.141111113N. Bajor5.007650LJun 13 · 09:35M. Kihara2.386151121Y. Zhu1.5311179113WJun 12 · 15:00M. Kihara1.3310111110113H. Doo3.2512521242WJun 11 · 16:10M. Kihara1.171111113F. Yu4.508550
X. Chen10
WAug 12 · 17:10H. Goda9.0011481342X. Chen1.048111111113LAug 9 · 09:30M. Harimoto1.60131191114X. Chen2.10117119112WAug 9 · 03:15X. Chen1.671111115114M. Kuai2.108791151WAug 8 · 03:30S. Odo3.2546770X. Chen1.33111111114WAug 6 · 05:00P. Pavade7.008220X. Chen1.081111113WAug 4 · 02:00N. Kim7.506570X. Chen1.071111113LJul 5 · 01:00Y. Sun1.20111111114X. Chen4.3355660WJul 3 · 19:35Y. Qin3.752550X. Chen1.251111113WJul 2 · 02:45Y. Huang9.0010330X. Chen1.041211113WJun 29 · 20:45Y. Yoo7.506840X. Chen1.071111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Kihara
Nothing scheduled
X. Chen
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