TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13062940
Played Sep 2Finished
Kirill Skachkov
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117112511118––
Dmitrii Vinogradov
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKirill Skachkov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKirill Skachkov above · Dmitrii Vinogradov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 10-8
Point 65 set 4, 10-8 — our read held Kirill Skachkov at 54.0%
65 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 07:17What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vinogradov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Skachkov 80% vs Vinogradov 60%
Skachkov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skachkov 70% vs Vinogradov 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skachkov +1 · Vinogradov +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vinogradov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skachkov form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkachkov 2.38 / Vinogradov 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Vinogradov)+0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13062940
Skachkov2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Vinogradov1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkachkovVinogradovBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 7 / 1070%70%7 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinogradovSkachkov 2.38/Vinogradov 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Vinogradov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Skachkov won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Skachkov10
LSep 3 · 12:45K. Skachkov4.50491181S. Gauzy1.1711118113WSep 2 · 06:10K. Skachkov1.36119911143P. Fedotov3.00811118122LMay 12 · 16:20K. Stumper1.531111113K. Skachkov2.384890WMay 11 · 15:20K. Skachkov1.081111123B. Varga7.0099100WMay 11 · 08:45C. Rossi3.25812741K. Skachkov1.33111011113WMay 10 · 09:55K. Skachkov1.051311113H. Isik8.5011430LMar 26 · 11:45K. Skachkov2.109121191J. Geraldo1.6711149113WMar 25 · 18:45K. Skachkov1.838111111113H. Deschamps1.8311813972WMar 25 · 12:30A. Bourass10.004480K. Skachkov1.031111113WMar 24 · 18:30I. Gunduz—8712101K. Skachkov—111110123
D. Vinogradov10
WSep 2 · 06:10Z. Kenjaev7.508760D. Vinogradov1.071111113LJul 27 · 08:20F. Bourrassaud1.441371111113D. Vinogradov2.6315118552WJul 26 · 07:55D. Vinogradov1.131111113N. Shutov5.506830LJul 2 · 14:50D. Vinogradov—821191L. Volin—11116113WJul 2 · 09:10D. Vinogradov—911711113T. Monteiro—11611562WJul 1 · 14:15D. Vinogradov—1111113Z. Aldmaisy—3690LMay 12 · 16:20F. Zeljko1.531211113D. Vinogradov2.3810970WMay 11 · 14:45R. Vila4.50113141D. Vinogradov1.1791111113WMay 11 · 08:45D. Vinogradov1.131111113J. Kaucky5.505740WMay 10 · 15:45D. Vinogradov—1111113M. Taher—5650
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