TT Lossbeater/WTT Contender Almaty Quals
WTT Contender Almaty QualsMatch #13059589
Played Sep 2Finished
Zokhid Kenjaev
Home
7.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–1Last 4Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711611––––
Dmitrii Vinogradov
Away
1.07
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:58 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZokhid Kenjaev to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingZokhid Kenjaev above · Dmitrii Vinogradov below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Zokhid Kenjaev at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Zokhid Kenjaev 0–1 Dmitrii Vinogradov Zokhid Kenjaev has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 15:58What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (88%)
Vinogradov
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Kenjaev 75% vs Vinogradov 60%
Kenjaev
Wrong
15pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kenjaev 75% vs Vinogradov 60%
Kenjaev
Wrong
15pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kenjaev +1 · Vinogradov -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 88% — Strong (leans Vinogradov) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vinogradov form (60%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKenjaev 7.50 / Vinogradov 1.07
Signal prob.13% / 88%
Edge (Vinogradov)-0.0pp
WTT Contender Almaty Quals · #13059589
Kenjaev7.50
75%won 3 of 4 · last 10
oldest → newest
75%takes the first set · 3 of 4
Vinogradov1.07
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeKenjaev0wins
AwayVinogradov1wins
Vinogradov leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricKenjaevVinogradovK − VBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match21.033.0−12.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKenjaevVinogradovBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 6 / 1070%60%7 / 10 vs 6 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VinogradovKenjaev 7.50/Vinogradov 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
87.5%
Vinogradov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Vinogradov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LSep 2 · 06:10Z. Kenjaev—8760D. Vinogradov—1111113
Z. Kenjaev10
WSep 1 · 11:30Z. Kenjaev—119911123A. Torgaibekov—911110102LMay 11 · 15:20Z. Kenjaev—8960S. Brhel—1111113WMay 10 · 16:30T. Closset—4118101Z. Kenjaev—11711123WMay 10 · 10:30L. Ullmann—8770Z. Kenjaev—1111113WMar 2 · 17:00Z. Kenjaev—611127113A. Valuch—118101182LNov 24 · 17:20Z. Kenjaev—119141012D. Reitspies—7111212103WNov 10 · 18:00J. Kleprlik—111110172Z. Kenjaev—371211113WNov 10 · 17:20P. Korbel—4970Z. Kenjaev—1111103WNov 4 · 16:02Z. Kenjaev—1211123O. Tymofieiev—104100LSep 23 · 17:00J. Vrablik—1112123Z. Kenjaev—610100
D. Vinogradov10
LSep 2 · 12:10K. Skachkov2.3811115113D. Vinogradov1.53721181LJul 27 · 08:20F. Bourrassaud1.441371111113D. Vinogradov2.6315118552WJul 26 · 07:55D. Vinogradov1.131111113N. Shutov5.506830LJul 2 · 14:50D. Vinogradov—821191L. Volin—11116113WJul 2 · 09:10D. Vinogradov—911711113T. Monteiro—11611562WJul 1 · 14:15D. Vinogradov—1111113Z. Aldmaisy—3690LMay 12 · 16:20F. Zeljko1.531211113D. Vinogradov2.3810970WMay 11 · 14:45R. Vila4.50113141D. Vinogradov1.1791111113WMay 11 · 08:45D. Vinogradov1.131111113J. Kaucky5.505740WMay 10 · 15:45D. Vinogradov—1111113M. Taher—5650
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