TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Berlin
WTT Feeder BerlinMatch #12465607
Played Aug 20Finished
Aleksi Rasanen
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1169111210118––
Zhenlong Liu
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:44 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeZhenlong Liu to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingAleksi Rasanen above · Zhenlong Liu below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 78 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Zhenlong Liu at 61.7%
78 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:44What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Liu
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Rasanen 20% vs Liu 60%
Liu
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Rasanen 40% vs Liu 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Rasanen +1 · Liu +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Liu) · live re-read · sealed at 62% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rasanen form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsRasanen 2.50 / Liu 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Liu)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Berlin · #12465607
Rasanen2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Liu1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricRasanenLiuBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 5 / 1040%50%4 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.52.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
LiuRasanen 2.50/Liu 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Liu · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Rasanen won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
A. Rasanen10
LAug 24 · 14:00A. Keshavarzi1.2551111113A. Rasanen3.75117961WAug 24 · 08:25R. Dutta—7380A. Rasanen—1111113LAug 21 · 16:15A. Rasanen2.3847111292S. Naresh1.531111910113WAug 19 · 15:45S. Zhubanov1.5081141182A. Rasanen2.50116118113LAug 19 · 10:20A. Keshavarzi1.13111114113A. Rasanen5.50581691LNov 29 · 19:10I. Kharki—3A. Rasanen—1LOct 14 · 09:40A. Rasanen8.5027100M. Redzimski1.051111123LOct 14 · 08:00A. Rasanen8.508680M. Badowski1.051111113LOct 12 · 12:30M. Allegro1.201111113A. Rasanen4.339750LAug 7 · 12:48O. Kveton1.831110118143A. Rasanen1.83212711132
Z. Liu10
LAug 26 · 10:20Y. Yu1.1113116113Z. Liu4.761161161WAug 20 · 10:20Z. Liu1.1713911113B. Botha4.501111491WAug 19 · 14:35Z. Liu—11611113F. Cozmolici—811471LApr 20 · 18:00Z. Liu4.7581111782J. Seyfried1.14115911113WApr 20 · 08:00M. Sawczak1.57341481Z. Liu2.25111112113LApr 14 · 10:25Z. Liu—111011772S. Jang—912811113WApr 13 · 16:25Z. Liu—3S. Boccard—0LMar 24 · 15:00A. Pal1.1711811133Z. Liu4.506114111LMar 24 · 09:00A. Puppo1.44111111113Z. Liu2.63791371LMar 22 · 17:59M. Kolodziejczyk—811111193Z. Liu—11456112
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