TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12423546
Played Aug 14Finished
Manyu Wang
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1171412109––––
Yuxuan Qin
Away
4.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:41 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeManyu Wang to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingManyu Wang above · Yuxuan Qin below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 10-9
Point 63 set 3, 10-9 — our read held Manyu Wang at 54.0%
63 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:41What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Wang
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Wang 80% vs Qin 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wang 80% vs Qin 50%
Wang
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wang +2 · Qin +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 79% — Strong (leans Wang) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Qin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWang 1.17 / Qin 4.50
Signal prob.79% / 21%
Edge (Wang)-0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12423546
Wang1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Qin4.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWangQinBasisWin rate · lifetime8 / 10 vs 5 / 1080%50%8 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.61.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WangWang 1.17/Qin 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.4%
Wang · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wang won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Wang10
WAug 16 · 16:00M. Wang1.281211912103Y. Wang3.501031110122WAug 16 · 10:45M. Wang1.33111111114M. Kuai3.2574780WAug 15 · 10:00M. Wang1.0412111115114Y. Peng9.0014461361WAug 13 · 12:20M. Wang1.011111113T. Chien15.005380WAug 11 · 10:35M. Wang1.011111113D. Meshref15.004440LJul 1 · 01:00H. Sato5.001211153M. Wang1.15104130WJun 29 · 02:10I. Yeoh9.735340M. Wang1.011111113WMay 10 · 12:20H. Hayata4.507750M. Wang1.171111113LMay 10 · 10:00M. Harimoto4.00111164113M. Wang1.2249111142WMay 9 · 11:50M. Wang1.041111123B. Szocs9.0049100
Y. Qin10
WAug 13 · 11:45Y. Li4.0011471142Y. Qin1.22911118113WAug 10 · 17:10Y. Qin2.50711144113M. Ito1.50113121192LJul 3 · 19:35Y. Qin3.752550X. Chen1.251111113WJul 1 · 21:20Y. Qin1.5312118113H. Doo2.381071171WJun 29 · 19:35S. Winter1.118111091Y. Qin6.0011612113LJun 18 · 16:10S. Akula2.841111113Y. Qin1.357770LJun 18 · 04:00S. Akula3.001111113Y. Qin1.367770LJun 10 · 23:00H. Hayata1.5011811113Y. Qin2.50211271LApr 11 · 03:35Y. Qin3.25712971X. Shi1.33111011113WApr 10 · 03:40J. Li1.538101111112Y. Qin2.38111243133
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