TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women
WTT Europe Smash Sweden WomenMatch #12408590
Played Aug 13Finished
Yu-Jhun Li
Home
4.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119411711118411
Yuxuan Qin
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:23 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeYuxuan Qin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYu-Jhun Li above · Yuxuan Qin below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 4-10
Point 86 set 5, 4-10 — our read held Yuxuan Qin at 54.0%
86 points drawn · the score is 1 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:23What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Qin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Li 40% vs Qin 60%
Qin
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Li 70% vs Qin 50%
Li
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Li +1 · Qin +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Qin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Qin form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLi 4.00 / Qin 1.22
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Qin)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women · #12408590
Li4.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Qin1.22
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiQinBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 5 / 1070%50%7 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.21.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
QinLi 4.00/Qin 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.6%
Qin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Qin won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Li10
LSep 3 · 05:00H. Hayata1.021111113Y. Li10.507760LAug 22 · 15:40N. Mittelham1.441171193Y. Li2.63711751WAug 22 · 10:10L. Ser3.4081111632Y. Li1.30118611113WAug 21 · 08:00T. Kukulkova4.506113111Y. Li1.1711611133WAug 10 · 18:20Y. Li1.571661011113Y. Yoo2.25141112442LJul 11 · 15:10C. Picard5.5013511113Y. Li1.131111771WJul 10 · 14:45E. Castro7.007620Y. Li1.071111113LJun 28 · 20:45Y. Li8.506400M. Harimoto1.051111113LMay 19 · 09:35Y. Li1.508870N. Bajor2.501111113WMay 18 · 17:15T. Ho5.00511711Y. Li1.1411611113
Y. Qin10
LAug 14 · 17:20M. Wang1.171114103Y. Qin4.5071290WAug 10 · 17:10Y. Qin2.50711144113M. Ito1.50113121192LJul 3 · 19:35Y. Qin3.752550X. Chen1.251111113WJul 1 · 21:20Y. Qin1.5312118113H. Doo2.381071171WJun 29 · 19:35S. Winter1.118111091Y. Qin6.0011612113LJun 18 · 16:10S. Akula2.841111113Y. Qin1.357770LJun 18 · 04:00S. Akula3.001111113Y. Qin1.367770LJun 10 · 23:00H. Hayata1.5011811113Y. Qin2.50211271LApr 11 · 03:35Y. Qin3.25712971X. Shi1.33111011113WApr 10 · 03:40J. Li1.538101111112Y. Qin2.38111243133
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