TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden QualsMatch #12380299
Played Aug 8Finished
Yu-An Chang
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7119111171315––
Gyuhyeon Park
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 24:38 and never touched — 64.5% is still 64.5%
Graded at full timeGyuhyeon Park to win
64.5%
64.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingYu-An Chang above · Gyuhyeon Park below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 13-15
Point 84 set 4, 13-15 — our read held Gyuhyeon Park at 64.5%
84 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 24:38What took a side3 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Park
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Chang 20% vs Park 60%
Park
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Chang 50% vs Park 80%
Park
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Chang -2 · Park -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Park) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Park form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChang 3.00 / Park 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Park)+0.0pp
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Quals · #12380299
Chang3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Park1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricChangParkBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 8 / 1050%80%5 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.22.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ParkChang 3.00/Park 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Park · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Park won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
Y. Chang10
LJul 21 · 10:50T. Watanabe3.75811512113Y. Chang1.25118111062LJun 27 · 19:20M. Freitas1.83791112113Y. Chang1.83111191062WJun 26 · 21:55Y. Chang1.06811117113Y. Batix8.0011771132LJun 17 · 15:45Y. Chang2.52119381G. Park1.4791111113LJun 17 · 15:35Y. Chang2.63119381G. Park1.4491111103WJun 16 · 16:00V. Ursu2.251131191Y. Chang1.5771113113WJun 16 · 09:10K. Stumper1.675760Y. Chang2.101111113LJun 10 · 16:20J. Lim1.4491111113Y. Chang2.63118341WJun 10 · 10:55Y. Chang1.70119126113A. Bertelsmeier1.91511101162WJun 9 · 13:35Y. Chang1.081111113L. Stoll7.007490
G. Park10
LAug 9 · 20:50D. Kozul5.551111113G. Park1.107960LAug 9 · 17:55D. Kozul6.001111103G. Park1.117960WAug 9 · 12:05R. Walther3.50811891G. Park1.2811911113LJun 27 · 18:10M. Allegro5.00511913113G. Park1.14119111182LJun 20 · 10:45G. Park3.40461361S. Togami1.30111111113WJun 20 · 07:10A. Lebrun—91161162G. Park—116116113WJun 19 · 16:45A. Lebrun1.4091161162G. Park2.75116116113WJun 18 · 17:55T. Pucar2.401011381G. Park1.4812411113WJun 17 · 15:45Y. Chang2.52119381G. Park1.4791111113WJun 17 · 15:35Y. Chang2.63119381G. Park1.4491111103
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.