TT Lossbeater/WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women QualsMatch #12380162
Played Aug 8Finished
Jessica Reyes Lai
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
––––––––––
Daniela Ortega
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:59 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniela Ortega to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:59What took a side3 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Ortega
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Lai 0% vs Ortega 60%
Ortega
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lai 20% vs Ortega 40%
Ortega
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lai -5 · Ortega -1
Lai
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lai form (0%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLai 2.00 / Ortega 1.73
WTT Europe Smash Sweden Women Quals · #12380162
Lai2.00
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Ortega1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLaiOrtegaBasisWin rate · lifetime2 / 10 vs 4 / 1020%40%2 / 10 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.01.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
Lai 2.00/Ortega 1.73
Not delivered
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Lai won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
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