TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12291209
Played Jul 23Finished
Jessica Prates
Home
6.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
2–2Last 4Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411511311––––
Daniela Ortega
Away
1.11
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:09 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniela Ortega to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
45 points played in total.
Set by set
411511311––––
H2H Jessica Prates 0–1 Daniela Ortega Jessica Prates has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 23:09What took a side1 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (84%)
Ortega
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-1 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Prates 50% vs Ortega 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prates 50% vs Ortega 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Prates +2 · Ortega -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Ortega) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ortega form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrates 6.00 / Ortega 1.11
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Ortega)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12291209
Prates6.00
50%won 2 of 4 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 2 of 3
Ortega1.11
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePrates0wins
AwayOrtega1wins
Ortega leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
This 1 meeting
MetricPratesOrtegaP − OBasisWins01−1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match12.033.0−21.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPratesOrtegaBasisWin rate · lifetime1 / 6 vs 4 / 1033.3%40%1 / 6 vs 4 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.51.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrtegaPrates 6.00/Ortega 1.11
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
84.4%
Ortega · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Ortega won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
LJul 23 · 23:10J. Prates—4530D. Ortega—1111113
J. Prates6
WJul 22 · 20:35G. Zago9.0081140J. Prates1.041113113WJul 9 · 19:30J. Prates—1111113L. Arzamendia—7630LJul 8 · 21:55E. Leon—111011113J. Prates—812631LJul 31 · 16:00B. Balazova1.081111113J. Prates7.006380LMay 27 · 20:20J. Prates—117771A. Aceves—41111113LMay 21 · 19:40J. Prates—117571N. Marchetti—91111113
D. Ortega10
LAug 27 · 09:45O. Paranang1.441111113D. Ortega2.631540WAug 26 · 16:15C. Lai2.005780D. Ortega1.731111113LAug 8 · 15:20J. Lai2.003D. Ortega1.732LJul 24 · 20:35D. Ortega5.5012911562B. Takahashi1.131011911113LJul 11 · 21:15Y. Tsai1.401111113D. Ortega2.758740WJul 11 · 15:45N. Antar9.251320D. Ortega1.021111113WJul 10 · 21:15P. Vega4.0088100D. Ortega1.221111123LJun 27 · 03:25D. Ortega4.65118561X. Yang1.1381111113WJun 26 · 21:40D. Ortega1.33111175113S. Aspathi3.2568111162LMay 29 · 16:15Y. Ghorpade1.4011411113D. Ortega2.75611581
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.