TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12294624
Played Jul 24Finished
Sreeja Akula
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
711115117119––
Claire Picard
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:40 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeClaire Picard to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingSreeja Akula above · Claire Picard below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 72 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Claire Picard at 55.8%
72 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 13:40What took a side1 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Akula
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Akula 40% vs Picard 60%
Picard
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Akula 40% vs Picard 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Akula -2 · Picard -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Akula) · live re-read · sealed at 44% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Picard form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAkula 1.25 / Picard 3.75
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Akula)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12294624
Akula1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Picard3.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricAkulaPicardBasisWin rate · lifetime4 / 10 vs 5 / 1040%50%4 / 10 vs 5 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.51.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AkulaAkula 1.25/Picard 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75%
Akula · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Akula won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
S. Akula10
LAug 11 · 17:10D. Chitale1.441111113S. Akula2.638690LAug 7 · 04:10S. Akula4.2026111152Y. Shin1.17111187113LAug 6 · 05:00S. Akula4.5026111152Y. Shin1.17111187113WAug 4 · 02:00S. Akula3.2591111123S. Polcanova1.331186101LJul 25 · 15:10S. Akula7.002680H. Sato1.081111113LJun 30 · 02:45S. Akula5.0010820C. Joo1.141211113LJun 19 · 21:50S. Akula4.208670H. Hayata1.171111113WJun 18 · 16:10S. Akula2.841111113Y. Qin1.357770WJun 18 · 04:00S. Akula3.001111113Y. Qin1.367770LJun 10 · 23:00S. Akula3.25611811A. Hursey1.3311911113
C. Picard10
WJul 23 · 07:00C. Picard1.83111011113T. Kukulkova1.83812771LJul 12 · 13:35Y. Tsai1.311211113C. Picard3.1010860WJul 11 · 20:40A. Rodriguez4.0071090C. Picard1.201112113WJul 11 · 15:10C. Picard5.5013511113Y. Li1.131111771WJul 10 · 21:00C. Picard—1111133F. Paiva—34110LMay 22 · 08:00P. Pavade1.101111113C. Picard6.506630LMay 17 · 16:40C. Picard1.83481241A. Dymytrenko1.83111110113LApr 20 · 15:05Y. Liu1.30111212123C. Picard3.1091014101WApr 20 · 08:00A. Tofant3.75119491C. Picard1.2551111113LApr 14 · 15:45N. Arlia—12119113C. Picard—1091171
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