TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12283660
Played Jul 23Finished
Claire Picard
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1181012117117––
Tatiana Kukulkova
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:49 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeClaire Picard to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingClaire Picard above · Tatiana Kukulkova below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 77 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Claire Picard at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Claire Picard 1–0 Tatiana Kukulkova Tatiana Kukulkova has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 18:49What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kukulkova
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Form (L5)
Picard 60% vs Kukulkova 20%
Picard
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Picard 50% vs Kukulkova 30%
Picard
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Picard -1 · Kukulkova -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Picard)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kukulkova form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPicard 1.83 / Kukulkova 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Picard)+4.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12283660
Picard1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Kukulkova1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomePicard1wins
AwayKukulkova0wins
Picard leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricPicardKukulkovaP − KBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match43.034.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPicardKukulkovaBasisWin rate · lifetime5 / 10 vs 3 / 1050%30%5 / 10 vs 3 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.81.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PicardPicard 1.83/Kukulkova 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Picard · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Picard won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WJul 23 · 07:00C. Picard—111011113T. Kukulkova—812771
C. Picard10
LJul 24 · 21:10S. Akula1.2571111113C. Picard3.75115791LJul 12 · 13:35Y. Tsai1.311211113C. Picard3.1010860WJul 11 · 20:40A. Rodriguez4.0071090C. Picard1.201112113WJul 11 · 15:10C. Picard5.5013511113Y. Li1.131111771WJul 10 · 21:00C. Picard—1111133F. Paiva—34110LMay 22 · 08:00P. Pavade1.101111113C. Picard6.506630LMay 17 · 16:40C. Picard1.83481241A. Dymytrenko1.83111110113LApr 20 · 15:05Y. Liu1.30111212123C. Picard3.1091014101WApr 20 · 08:00A. Tofant3.75119491C. Picard1.2551111113LApr 14 · 15:45N. Arlia—12119113C. Picard—1091171
T. Kukulkova10
WAug 30 · 12:00O. Wator—3780T. Kukulkova—1111113LAug 21 · 08:00T. Kukulkova4.506113111Y. Li1.1711611133LAug 8 · 15:55T. Kukulkova4.0077140Y. Yoo1.221111163LJun 27 · 18:10T. Kukulkova4.209540Y. Huang1.201111113WJun 26 · 21:05T. Kukulkova4.5011513123A. Diaconu1.1771111101LJun 16 · 11:30Z. Tan1.5011511113T. Kukulkova2.50411571LJun 9 · 13:00T. Kukulkova2.758111351K. Wegrzyn1.4011815113LMay 5 · 22:25D. Meshref1.271111113T. Kukulkova3.405970LMay 5 · 21:06D. Meshref1.301111113T. Kukulkova3.405970LMay 5 · 18:30H. Goda1.06111011113T. Kukulkova8.00612871
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