TT Lossbeater/WTT Star Contender Brazil Women
WTT Star Contender Brazil WomenMatch #12288860
Played Jul 23Finished
Laura Watanabe
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118118115––––
Sofia Vega
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:02 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeSofia Vega to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongno pick shipped
How it is goingLaura Watanabe above · Sofia Vega below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 54 set 3, 11-5 — our read held Sofia Vega at 60.8%
54 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 16:02What took a side2 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vega
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Watanabe 20% vs Vega 40%
Vega
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Watanabe 30% vs Vega 20%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Watanabe -3 · Vega -1
Watanabe
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Vega)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vega form (40%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWatanabe 2.38 / Vega 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Vega)+0.0pp
WTT Star Contender Brazil Women · #12288860
Watanabe2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Vega1.53
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricWatanabeVegaBasisWin rate · lifetime3 / 10 vs 2 / 1030%20%3 / 10 vs 2 / 10Avg sets wonper match1.31.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VegaWatanabe 2.38/Vega 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Vega · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Watanabe won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
L. Watanabe10
LAug 8 · 15:20L. Watanabe4.504112121G. Monfardini1.1711711143LJul 24 · 20:00L. Watanabe8.001260E. Abraamian1.061111113LJul 10 · 20:40L. Watanabe—118461A. Rodriguez—61111113LJun 26 · 18:45L. Watanabe5.509940A. Zarif1.131111113LMay 5 · 17:10L. Watanabe1.3591381172E. Sadikovic2.901111119113WApr 30 · 16:20L. Watanabe—1111113B. Batmunkh—7510LApr 29 · 17:10L. Watanabe1.73611981H. Kodetova2.0011911113WApr 28 · 19:30L. Watanabe1.28117117113Z. Koshkumbayeva3.5041191192LApr 21 · 09:10L. Rakovac1.221113113L. Watanabe4.0051140WApr 20 · 16:15N. Darovcova2.751311951L. Watanabe1.4015611113
S. Vega10
LJul 10 · 14:10Y. Tsai1.1111119113S. Vega6.00391161WJul 8 · 21:15S. Vega—9111111113S. Kano—11135372WJul 8 · 15:20S. Vega—13115113A. Isaza—1171181LMay 1 · 14:05S. Vega1.4411911962F. Doutaz2.63611411113LMay 1 · 13:05S. Vega5.50911571R. Moret1.1011711113LMay 1 · 11:52S. Vega5.00911571R. Moret1.1411711113LApr 30 · 12:30S. Vega4.507460B. Balazova1.171111113WApr 28 · 18:50S. Vega—3H. Raharijaona—0LMar 25 · 09:35A. Zarif—1111113S. Vega—4890LMar 24 · 09:00S. Vega1.75811861N. Arlia1.9011811113
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