TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar Women
WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar WomenMatch #12280482
Played Jul 22Finished
Jie Li
Home
1.76
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1416115114119––
Kotona Okada
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:18 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJie Li to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJie Li above · Kotona Okada below
Set 1 · 14-16
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 81 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jie Li at 54.0%
81 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 09:18What took a side2 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Li
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Li 80% vs Okada 60%
Li
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Li 70% vs Okada 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Li +2 · Okada +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Li)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Li form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLi 1.76 / Okada 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Li)+2.1pp
WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar Women · #12280482
Li1.76
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
Okada1.90
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLiOkadaBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 8 / 1070%80%7 / 10 vs 8 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.52.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
LiLi 1.76/Okada 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Li · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Li won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
J. Li10
LAug 8 · 03:25K. Akae1.251111113J. Li3.757570WAug 7 · 10:20J. Li1.201111113Y. Tsai3.857460WAug 7 · 05:10J. Li1.0791111123C. Chen7.501107101WAug 6 · 03:00J. Li1.011111113T. Xaiphetvong9.732330LJul 23 · 10:15Y. Ojio2.10111154113J. Li1.6786111192WJul 23 · 05:00C. Chen2.384670J. Li1.531111113WJul 22 · 04:10J. Li1.441112113Z. Lee2.6381090WJul 21 · 10:15J. Li1.111112113S. Yuen6.0051030LMay 4 · 18:55E. Samara1.67113511113J. Li2.1031111782WApr 30 · 09:00A. Aceves8.508690J. Li1.051111113
K. Okada10
WJul 22 · 04:10K. Okada2.2561111113J. Shao1.57115971WJul 21 · 03:45S. Gomzhapova—8490K. Okada—1111113LJul 3 · 08:45K. Okada1.33101181132S. Wani3.25129115113WMay 11 · 09:10K. Okada—411117113J. Neumann—11621182LMay 10 · 13:00K. Okada1.2010790H. Cheng4.331211113WApr 11 · 14:10Y. Ghorpade2.2541140K. Okada1.571113113WApr 11 · 07:35E. Zaharia2.6311131061K. Okada1.4461512113WApr 10 · 15:15S. Das2.50891111102K. Okada1.50111169123WApr 10 · 09:45K. Okada2.63116711113N. Mittelham1.4481111662WApr 9 · 09:20K. Okada1.3611119113N. Mani3.00691131
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