TT Lossbeater/WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar Women
WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar WomenMatch #12276679
Played Jul 22Finished
Kotona Okada
Home
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
611115119117––
Jieni Shao
Away
1.57
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:54 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeKotona Okada to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKotona Okada above · Jieni Shao below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 71 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Kotona Okada at 54.0%
71 points played in total.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 11:54What took a side0 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Shao
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Form (L5)
Okada 60% vs Shao 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Okada 70% vs Shao 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Okada +1 · Shao +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Shao) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Okada form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOkada 2.25 / Shao 1.57
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Shao)+0.0pp
WTT Feeder Ulaanbaatar Women · #12276679
Okada2.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Shao1.57
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricOkadaShaoBasisWin rate · lifetime7 / 10 vs 7 / 1070%70%7 / 10 vs 7 / 10Avg sets wonper match2.42.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ShaoOkada 2.25/Shao 1.57
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Shao · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Okada won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
K. Okada10
LJul 22 · 10:15J. Li1.76141111113K. Okada1.90165491WJul 21 · 03:45S. Gomzhapova—8490K. Okada—1111113LJul 3 · 08:45K. Okada1.33101181132S. Wani3.25129115113WMay 11 · 09:10K. Okada—411117113J. Neumann—11621182LMay 10 · 13:00K. Okada1.2010790H. Cheng4.331211113WApr 11 · 14:10Y. Ghorpade2.2541140K. Okada1.571113113WApr 11 · 07:35E. Zaharia2.6311131061K. Okada1.4461512113WApr 10 · 15:15S. Das2.50891111102K. Okada1.50111169123WApr 10 · 09:45K. Okada2.63116711113N. Mittelham1.4481111662WApr 9 · 09:20K. Okada1.3611119113N. Mani3.00691131
J. Shao10
LAug 9 · 10:55J. Shao1.835550X. Ni1.831111113LAug 9 · 08:35J. Shao1.835550X. Ni1.831111113WJul 21 · 03:15A. Batmunkh—6610J. Shao—1111113LJul 4 · 14:40J. Shao2.45415111562S. Lee1.481117513113WJul 4 · 09:45J. Shao1.617111112113V. Voronina2.20114131032WJul 3 · 08:10J. Shao1.13111379123O. Yilmaz5.509111111102LJun 28 · 19:00J. Shao1.67811851D. Meshref2.1011911113WJun 28 · 03:25T. Ho3.251412671J. Shao1.33161011113WJun 27 · 19:55C. Psihogios4.339540J. Shao1.201111113LJun 10 · 15:00X. Yang1.3011116113J. Shao2.93941191
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.