TT Lossbeater/ITTF World Team Champs
ITTF World Team ChampsMatch #11822095
Played Apr 30Finished
Tiago Apolonia
Home
1.30
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1161816911117––
Ioannis Sgouropoulos
Away
3.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTiago Apolonia above · Ioannis Sgouropoulos below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 18-16
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 89 set 4, 11-7
89 points played in total.
H2H Tiago Apolonia 2–0 Ioannis Sgouropoulos Ioannis Sgouropoulos has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Apolonia)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Sgouropoulos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsApolonia 1.30 / Sgouropoulos 3.40
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Apolonia)-14.3pp (anti-value)
ITTF World Team Champs · #11822095
Apolonia1.30
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Sgouropoulos3.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
67%takes the first set · 6 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeApolonia2wins
AwaySgouropoulos0wins
Apolonia leads 2–0.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricApoloniaSgouropoulosA − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match49.040.0+9.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricApoloniaSgouropoulosBasisWin rate · lifetime21 / 46 vs 19 / 3545.7%54.3%21 / 46 vs 19 / 35Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.134.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ApoloniaApolonia 1.30/Sgouropoulos 3.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58%
Apolonia · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Apolonia won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
W—T. Apolonia—3I. Sgouropoulos—1
W—T. Apolonia—3I. Sgouropoulos—1
T. Apolonia10
LAug 8 · 14:45T. Apolonia1.3631D. Kozul3.0043LJun 27 · 02:50T. Apolonia1.481241071C. Andras2.42101112113WJun 26 · 22:15A. Luo8.501470T. Apolonia1.051111113LJun 5 · 06:00T. Apolonia2.631411511102H. Shinozuka1.44169116123WJun 4 · 10:10T. Apolonia1.83581111113M. Thakkar1.8311115892LMay 31 · 16:15I. Ban2.0011911113T. Apolonia1.73711941WMay 31 · 09:45A. Bhattacharjee2.63711111132T. Apolonia1.44119813113WMay 30 · 18:00T. Apolonia1.551111113P. Jain2.158870WMay 30 · 11:20T. Apolonia1.1711119113G. Gomez4.50771181WMay 29 · 10:20T. Apolonia1.1411119113A. Vilardell5.00571121
I. Sgouropoulos10
LMay 11 · 14:45T. Schweiger2.0011117113I. Sgouropoulos1.73691141WMay 11 · 08:10I. Sgouropoulos—1111113S. Iskandarov—6940WMay 10 · 15:55I. Sgouropoulos—91111113A. Riniotis—118441LMay 1 · 18:00A. Putuntica1.6791111113I. Sgouropoulos2.10118861LMay 1 · 16:00V. Ursu1.101111133I. Sgouropoulos6.5093110LApr 30 · 13:20T. Apolonia1.1811189113I. Sgouropoulos4.156161171WApr 29 · 11:45I. Sgouropoulos—3J. Morisseau—0WApr 28 · 16:30S. Ouaiche—0I. Sgouropoulos—3LApr 10 · 10:20T. Jarvis1.5011115113I. Sgouropoulos2.50851181WApr 9 · 08:10I. Sgouropoulos1.2511118113A. Shulaybi3.75981151
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