TT Lossbeater/ITTF World Team Champs
ITTF World Team ChampsMatch #11817217
Played Apr 29Finished
Tiago Apolonia
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117211911111118
Mehdi Bouloussa
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingTiago Apolonia above · Mehdi Bouloussa below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-1
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 82 set 5, 11-8
82 points played in total.
H2H Tiago Apolonia 2–0 Mehdi Bouloussa Mehdi Bouloussa has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Apolonia)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bouloussa form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsApolonia 1.83 / Bouloussa 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Apolonia)+4.1pp
ITTF World Team Champs · #11817217
Apolonia1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Bouloussa1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
44%takes the first set · 4 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeApolonia2wins
AwayBouloussa0wins
Apolonia leads 2–0.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricApoloniaBouloussaA − BBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match44.038.0+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricApoloniaBouloussaBasisWin rate · lifetime19 / 43 vs 6 / 2344.2%26.1%19 / 43 vs 6 / 23Avg sets wonper match1.91.4per matchAvg pointsper match35.331.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ApoloniaApolonia 1.83/Bouloussa 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Apolonia · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Apolonia won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—T. Apolonia—3M. Bouloussa—2
T. Apolonia10
LAug 8 · 14:45T. Apolonia1.3631D. Kozul3.0043LJun 27 · 02:50T. Apolonia1.481241071C. Andras2.42101112113WJun 26 · 22:15A. Luo8.501470T. Apolonia1.051111113LJun 5 · 06:00T. Apolonia2.631411511102H. Shinozuka1.44169116123WJun 4 · 10:10T. Apolonia1.83581111113M. Thakkar1.8311115892LMay 31 · 16:15I. Ban2.0011911113T. Apolonia1.73711941WMay 31 · 09:45A. Bhattacharjee2.63711111132T. Apolonia1.44119813113WMay 30 · 18:00T. Apolonia1.551111113P. Jain2.158870WMay 30 · 11:20T. Apolonia1.1711119113G. Gomez4.50771181WMay 29 · 10:20T. Apolonia1.1411119113A. Vilardell5.00571121
M. Bouloussa10
LAug 8 · 11:40M. Bouloussa2.201171161P. Jain1.6113115113LJun 27 · 17:35D. Kozul1.4011511143M. Bouloussa2.757115121WApr 30 · 12:40E. Bruchard—2470M. Bouloussa—1111113LApr 29 · 13:20T. Apolonia—3M. Bouloussa—2WApr 28 · 16:00M. Bouloussa—3P. Gionis—2LMar 31 · 01:30Y. Lin1.051111113M. Bouloussa8.502660LMar 30 · 03:30O. Assar1.2511126113M. Bouloussa3.756101181LFeb 20 · 03:35A. Robles1.6111911113M. Bouloussa2.20811791LJan 30 · 12:55A. Kouraichi1.83117911113M. Bouloussa1.8381111892WJan 29 · 19:25M. Bouloussa—117611113L. Nodrest—81111982
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