TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Yurij Fomin vs Pawel Polok 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811411611––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:53 and never touched: 65.0% is still 65.0%
Graded at full timePawel Polok to win
65.0%
65.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
811411611––––
H2H Yurij Fomin 0–4 Pawel Polok Yurij Fomin has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:5365.0%Our read62.5%to break even at 1.60
clears by 2.5pp62.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.60 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Polok
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
0-4 in 4
Polok
Correct
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1350 vs Polok 1426
Polok
Correct
both rated, 76 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 60% vs Polok 20%
Fomin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 60% vs Polok 40%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +1 · Polok -4
Polok
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% · Clear lean (leans Polok) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Polok form (20%) is below what odds imply (63%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 2.15 / Polok 1.60
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Polok)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13247240
Fomin2.15
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog33% won 50 of 153
Down 0–1, comes back11% 10 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Polok1.60
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 134 of 206
Up 2–0, closes it95% 78 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it83% 110 of 132
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeFomin0wins
AwayPolok4wins
1 of 4 to a deciderPolok leads 4–0, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFominn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayPolok100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin1Polok3n = 4Polok took 3 of 4
S2Fomin4Polok0n = 4Fomin took 4 of 4
S3Fomin0Polok4n = 4Polok took 4 of 4
S4Fomin0Polok4n = 4Polok took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away375%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricFominPolokF − PBasisWins04−4in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match38.245.5−7.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominPolokBasisWin rate · lifetime273 / 560 vs 182 / 28748.8%63.4%273 / 560 vs 182 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.02.3per matchAvg pointsper match37.838.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PolokFomin 2.15/Polok 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65%
Polok · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Polok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 25 · 06:45Y. Fomin34414791P. Polok45111211113
LSep 18 · 07:35Y. Fomin419119121P. Polok4211611143
LAug 21 · 07:10Y. Fomin35514971P. Polok45111211113
LAug 16 · 06:30Y. Fomin4311118582P. Polok50891111113
Y. Fomin10
WOct 5 · 06:45G. Wichowski2.27811681Y. Fomin1.5711611113LOct 5 · 05:55Y. Fomin1.328915121J. Kaczmarek3.05111113143WOct 2 · 08:20Y. Fomin2.4611412113M. Lebek1.495111051WOct 2 · 06:45M. Adamus2.004760Y. Fomin1.731111113LOct 2 · 06:00P. Kurek1.72511711113Y. Fomin2.0011711992WOct 2 · 05:10Y. Fomin1.751111113O. Sokolowski1.959460WOct 2 · 04:00Y. Fomin1.971111113M. Guzik1.757490LSep 28 · 16:20G. Wichowski1.451111113Y. Fomin2.504620WSep 28 · 15:30O. Jadach1.7013931142Y. Fomin2.001111116113LSep 28 · 14:45Y. Fomin1.73710110P. Slosarczyk2.001112133
P. Polok10
LOct 5 · 07:10J. Pelka2.0011136163P. Polok1.7051111141LOct 5 · 05:30G. Wichowski—12911133P. Polok—10119111LOct 4 · 14:40P. Polok1.5011940J. Jesiek2.501311113LOct 4 · 13:05P. Polok1.5011811792D. Swider2.50711611113WOct 4 · 11:50P. Polok1.3311127113R. Idaczyk3.257101121LOct 4 · 10:10P. Polok1.835770W. Wojtaszczyk1.831111113WOct 4 · 09:00P. Polok1.33121113113W. Buczynski3.251481151WOct 4 · 07:45W. Wojtaszczyk1.83891151P. Polok1.8311119113WOct 4 · 06:55D. Swider1.91117140P. Polok1.801311163LOct 4 · 06:05P. Polok1.44510120J. Jesiek2.631112143
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