TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Sebastian Szostok vs Patryk Jedrzejak 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
117811116711117
Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
117811116711117
H2H Sebastian Szostok 12–17 Patryk Jedrzejak Sebastian Szostok has won 12 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Jedrzejak beat Szostok 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Jedrzejak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSzostok 2.40 / Jedrzejak 1.47
TT Elite Series · #13244243
Szostok2.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog49% won 71 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back33% 28 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back11% 4 of 38
Jedrzejak1.47
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 152 of 212
Up 2–0, closes it97% 87 of 90
Up 1–0, closes it82% 111 of 136
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSzostok4wins
AwayJedrzejak6wins
6 of 10 to a deciderJedrzejak leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSzostok66.7%2 of 3
AwayJedrzejak71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Szostok3Jedrzejak7n = 10Jedrzejak took 7 of 10
S2Szostok6Jedrzejak4n = 10Szostok took 6 of 10
S3Szostok5Jedrzejak5n = 10split evenly
S4Szostok5Jedrzejak3n = 8Szostok took 5 of 8
S5Szostok2Jedrzejak4n = 6Jedrzejak took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSzostokJedrzejakS − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match40.640.9−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSzostokJedrzejakBasisWin rate · lifetime901 / 1559 vs 371 / 54657.8%68%901 / 1559 vs 371 / 546Avg sets wonper match2.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
JedrzejakSzostok 2.40/Jedrzejak 1.47
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Szostok won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LOct 4 · 09:30S. Szostok4661461192P. Jedrzejak531112118113
WSep 5 · 13:05S. Szostok3611311113P. Jedrzejak301111351
WAug 16 · 13:10S. Szostok48118711113P. Jedrzejak4261111772
LAug 16 · 05:30S. Szostok4377121162P. Jedrzejak501111107113
LJul 26 · 13:10S. Szostok227870P. Jedrzejak331111113
WJul 26 · 05:30S. Szostok49811117123P. Jedrzejak46117711102
LJul 25 · 13:10S. Szostok4791111792P. Jedrzejak43118211113
LJul 25 · 05:30S. Szostok347116101P. Jedrzejak4111711123
WApr 25 · 13:10S. Szostok381611113P. Jedrzejak2614750
LApr 25 · 05:30S. Szostok43114101172P. Jedrzejak45411127113
S. Szostok10
WOct 4 · 14:20S. Szostok1.50101211113M. Malecha2.401210781WOct 4 · 12:45S. Szostok1.85911512113L. Oracz1.85116111082LOct 4 · 11:30S. Szostok1.83611761M. Oracz1.8311711113LOct 4 · 10:20L. Oracz1.85111186113S. Szostok1.8547111192LOct 4 · 09:30P. Jedrzejak1.651112118113S. Szostok2.1061461192WOct 4 · 08:45S. Szostok1.201111113I. Szymanski4.207860WOct 4 · 07:10S. Szostok1.8512118113M. Oracz1.801051151LOct 4 · 06:20M. Malecha2.35111188113S. Szostok1.5077111172WSep 28 · 14:20W. Jozala3.2511461162S. Szostok1.33911116113LSep 28 · 13:30W. Buczynski2.63111414113S. Szostok1.445121691
P. Jedrzejak10
WOct 4 · 14:45P. Jedrzejak1.341412113I. Szymanski3.00121020WOct 4 · 13:10P. Jedrzejak1.831111113M. Oracz1.878670WOct 4 · 12:20M. Malecha2.05115511P. Jedrzejak1.7081111113WOct 4 · 11:05P. Jedrzejak1.151111123I. Szymanski5.2565100WOct 4 · 09:30P. Jedrzejak1.651112118113S. Szostok2.1061461192WOct 4 · 08:20P. Jedrzejak1.321113133M. Malecha3.10911110WOct 4 · 06:45P. Jedrzejak1.4441411153L. Oracz2.6011129131WOct 4 · 05:30P. Jedrzejak1.831411113M. Oracz1.8712990LOct 3 · 16:20P. Gumulinski2.101111113P. Jedrzejak1.607880WOct 3 · 15:30D. Swider—11515101P. Jedrzejak—41117123
Upcoming Matches
S. Szostok
Oct 5 · 03:00S. Szostok1.53P. Przewlocki2.38—Oct 5 · 04:30S. Szostok1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Oct 5 · 05:15S. Szostok2.00K. Slawinski1.73—Oct 5 · 07:20S. Szostok1.80J. Pruszkowski1.91—Oct 5 · 08:10S. Szostok1.67J. Badura2.10—Oct 5 · 09:25S. Szostok1.80J. Pruszkowski1.91—Oct 5 · 10:10S. Szostok1.67O. Vincenec2.10—Oct 5 · 11:25S. Szostok2.00K. Slawinski1.73—Oct 5 · 12:40S. Szostok1.67J. Badura2.10—Oct 5 · 13:55S. Szostok1.57P. Przewlocki2.25—
P. Jedrzejak
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