TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Maciej Malecha vs Igor Szymanski 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Maciej Malecha
Home
1.61
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111197111517––
Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:14 and never touched: 56.8% is still 56.8%
Graded at full timeMaciej Malecha to win
56.8%
56.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
89 points played in total.
Set by set
8111197111517––
H2H Maciej Malecha 1–0 Igor Szymanski Igor Szymanski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Malecha beat Szymanski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:1456.8%Our read62.1%to break even at 1.61
short by 5.3pp62.1% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.61 they are the same number)
What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (57%)
Malecha
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Malecha 1333 vs Szymanski 1204
Malecha
Wrong
both rated, 129 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Malecha 40% vs Szymanski 20%
Malecha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Malecha 40% vs Szymanski 20%
Malecha
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Malecha -1 · Szymanski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% · Slight lean (leans Malecha) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szymanski form (20%) is below what odds imply (47%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMalecha 1.61 / Szymanski 2.15
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Malecha)-5.3pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13243473
Malecha1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Szymanski2.15
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog21% won 92 of 434
Down 0–1, comes back10% 30 of 290
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 209
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeMalecha1wins
AwaySzymanski0wins
Malecha leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricMalechaSzymanskiM − SBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match36.032.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMalechaSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime54 / 109 vs 118 / 48749.5%24.2%54 / 109 vs 118 / 487Avg sets wonper match1.91.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.033.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MalechaMalecha 1.61/Szymanski 2.15
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.8%
Malecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 4 · 07:30M. Malecha3631111113I. Szymanski32115791
M. Malecha10
LOct 4 · 12:20M. Malecha2.05115511P. Jedrzejak1.7081111113WOct 4 · 10:40M. Malecha2.251111113M. Oracz1.555870LOct 4 · 09:05L. Oracz1.601111123M. Malecha2.1585100LOct 4 · 08:20P. Jedrzejak1.321113133M. Malecha3.10911110WOct 4 · 07:30M. Malecha1.4531111113I. Szymanski2.50115791WOct 4 · 06:20M. Malecha2.35111188113S. Szostok1.5077111172LJun 7 · 17:05M. Malecha3.257270W. Wojtaszczyk1.281111113LJun 7 · 15:30M. Malecha1.604870J. Jesiek2.161111113LJun 7 · 14:20M. Malecha3.007870O. Jadach1.321111113WJun 7 · 12:45M. Malecha1.7012914113K. Juszczyk2.0410111261
I. Szymanski10
WOct 4 · 11:55L. Oracz2.2071161342I. Szymanski1.611161111113LOct 4 · 11:05P. Jedrzejak1.151111123I. Szymanski5.2565100LOct 4 · 09:55I. Szymanski2.08115521M. Oracz1.6861111113LOct 4 · 08:45S. Szostok1.201111113I. Szymanski4.207860LOct 4 · 07:30M. Malecha1.4531111113I. Szymanski2.50115791LOct 4 · 05:55L. Oracz1.331111133I. Szymanski2.9585110LSep 30 · 13:55K. Adamus1.131111113I. Szymanski5.505390LSep 30 · 13:05P. Przewlocki1.33591111123I. Szymanski3.25111139102LSep 30 · 12:15I. Szymanski4.507740O. Jadach1.171111113WSep 30 · 10:35I. Szymanski6.0011117113P. Brozek1.11581151
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