TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartlomiej Wisniewski vs Artur Szoltysek 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 4Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
12101191311––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:06 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Szoltysek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
66 points played in total.
Set by set
12101191311––––
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 9–12 Artur Szoltysek Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 9 of their 21 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Szoltysek beat Wisniewski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:0654.0%Our read54.9%to break even at 1.82
short by 0.9pp54.9% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.82 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.82 (51%)
Szoltysek
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
9-12 in 21
Szoltysek
Wrong
gap of 3 in 21, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wisniewski 1281 vs Szoltysek 1264
Wisniewski
Correct
both rated, 17 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wisniewski 40% vs Szoltysek 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wisniewski 60% vs Szoltysek 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wisniewski -1 · Szoltysek -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Szoltysek) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Szoltysek form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 1.88 / Szoltysek 1.82
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Szoltysek)-0.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13242959
Wisniewski1.88
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog37% won 163 of 439
Down 0–1, comes back16% 42 of 259
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 142
Szoltysek1.82
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite50% won 45 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it96% 21 of 22
Up 1–0, closes it76% 35 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski4wins
AwaySzoltysek6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSzoltysek leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski100%3 of 3
AwaySzoltysek85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski3Szoltysek7n = 10Szoltysek took 7 of 10
S2Wisniewski7Szoltysek3n = 10Wisniewski took 7 of 10
S3Wisniewski5Szoltysek5n = 10split evenly
S4Wisniewski2Szoltysek5n = 7Szoltysek took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiSzoltysekW − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.839.4−2.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiSzoltysekBasisWin rate · lifetime879 / 1860 vs 259 / 61047.3%42.5%879 / 1860 vs 259 / 610Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SzoltysekWisniewski 1.88/Szoltysek 1.82
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Szoltysek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 4 · 10:10B. Wisniewski361211133A. Szoltysek30109110
LOct 4 · 06:55B. Wisniewski29811100A. Szoltysek361113123
LSep 26 · 13:05B. Wisniewski4698111172A. Szoltysek48111169113
LSep 26 · 06:05B. Wisniewski30511591A. Szoltysek4011711113
LSep 19 · 05:15B. Wisniewski35812871A. Szoltysek43111011113
WSep 9 · 05:15B. Wisniewski4261111143A. Szoltysek371168121
LSep 7 · 06:55B. Wisniewski30714631A. Szoltysek45111211113
WAug 29 · 03:00B. Wisniewski48131176113A. Szoltysek47118111162
WAug 22 · 09:50B. Wisniewski341112113A. Szoltysek2781090
LAug 22 · 03:00B. Wisniewski389101181A. Szoltysek4111127113
B. Wisniewski10
LOct 4 · 09:00B. Wisniewski2.0515811101P. Krukar1.6817118123WOct 4 · 07:40M. Lukaszewski1.87111091162B. Wisniewski1.83612115113LOct 4 · 06:55A. Szoltysek1.901113123B. Wisniewski1.75811100LOct 4 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.90681181A. Eliasz1.7511117113WOct 4 · 04:30B. Wisniewski1.9091114113P. Krukar1.801191291WOct 4 · 03:50W. Iwasyszyn1.7411914782B. Wisniewski1.959111211113WSep 26 · 14:40B. Wisniewski2.25111115113M. Misiak1.557131391LSep 26 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.8598111172A. Szoltysek1.85111169113WSep 26 · 11:50B. Wisniewski2.0061112113K. Guminski1.731181051WSep 26 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.15101411113J. Przewlocki1.611212961
A. Szoltysek10
LOct 4 · 09:25A. Szoltysek1.951125101W. Iwasyszyn1.7561111123LOct 4 · 08:35A. Szoltysek1.751381171A. Eliasz1.9515115113WOct 4 · 06:55A. Szoltysek1.901113123B. Wisniewski1.75811100WOct 4 · 05:40A. Szoltysek1.9511511113W. Iwasyszyn1.75811861LOct 4 · 04:10A. Szoltysek1.8511116772M. Lukaszewski1.85871111113WOct 4 · 03:00A. Szoltysek—11166113P. Krukar—3141181WSep 26 · 13:55J. Przewlocki1.771211651A. Szoltysek1.8314911113WSep 26 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.8598111172A. Szoltysek1.85111169113LSep 26 · 12:15A. Szoltysek2.6081112662M. Misiak1.421151011113LSep 26 · 10:35A. Szoltysek1.8071191182J. Rolak1.91119115113
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