TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Anton Veliiev vs Mateusz Szymanski 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1156117111012––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
1156117111012––
H2H Anton Veliiev 8–1 Mateusz Szymanski Mateusz Szymanski has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Veliiev beat Szymanski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Veliiev form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVeliiev 1.49 / Szymanski 2.45
TT Cup · #13241183
Veliiev1.49
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 44 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it91% 30 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it76% 35 of 46
Szymanski2.45
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog45% won 29 of 64
Down 0–1, comes back27% 11 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVeliiev8wins
AwaySzymanski1wins
3 of 9 to a deciderVeliiev leads 8–1, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVeliiev87.5%7 of 8
AwaySzymanskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Veliiev8Szymanski1n = 9Veliiev took 8 of 9
S2Veliiev8Szymanski1n = 9Veliiev took 8 of 9
S3Veliiev6Szymanski3n = 9Veliiev took 6 of 9
S4Veliiev2Szymanski2n = 4split evenly
S5Veliiev2Szymanski1n = 3Veliiev took 2 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home556%
3–1Four sets, home111%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricVeliievSzymanskiV − SBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set81+7of 9Avg pointsper match38.729.6+9.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVeliievSzymanskiBasisWin rate · lifetime149 / 256 vs 156 / 28958.2%54%149 / 256 vs 156 / 289Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
VeliievVeliiev 1.49/Szymanski 2.45
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Szymanski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WOct 3 · 20:05A. Veliiev331111113M. Szymanski239680
WOct 2 · 15:30A. Veliiev331111113M. Szymanski174760
LJun 7 · 07:05A. Veliiev46111261072M. Szymanski495101112113
WJun 6 · 22:55A. Veliiev501171110113M. Szymanski3871161222
WJun 6 · 19:05A. Veliiev331111113M. Szymanski197660
WJun 5 · 22:00A. Veliiev331111113M. Szymanski185490
WJun 5 · 15:30A. Veliiev3911116113M. Szymanski31481181
WMar 14 · 19:35A. Veliiev474111011113M. Szymanski4411712952
WMar 13 · 18:00A. Veliiev341211113M. Szymanski2710980
A. Veliiev10
LOct 3 · 21:05D. Bucko2.0311312123A. Veliiev1.7181110101WOct 3 · 20:05A. Veliiev1.361111113M. Szymanski2.909680LOct 3 · 19:05A. Veliiev1.23118991P. Kos3.8081111113LOct 3 · 17:35A. Veliiev1.54118991P. Odelski2.2591111113WOct 3 · 15:35A. Veliiev1.681111113K. Guzy2.057960LOct 2 · 22:10A. Veliiev1.60741171D. Bucko2.2011119113LOct 2 · 20:30K. Zapala3.25211911133A. Veliiev1.30118113112WOct 2 · 19:30K. Guzy2.4511119482A. Veliiev1.49951111113LOct 2 · 18:00D. Bucko2.381111911123A. Veliiev1.52139119102WOct 2 · 15:30M. Szymanski2.504760A. Veliiev1.461111113
M. Szymanski10
WOct 3 · 22:05M. Szymanski2.251111113K. Guzy1.545790LOct 3 · 20:05A. Veliiev1.361111113M. Szymanski2.909680LOct 3 · 18:05D. Bucko1.761111123M. Szymanski1.9787100LOct 3 · 17:05M. Szymanski1.5112101171P. Kos2.4014126113WOct 3 · 16:05P. Odelski1.89811761M. Szymanski1.8211611113LOct 2 · 21:40T. Stachera3.001111113M. Szymanski1.347640LOct 2 · 21:00M. Szymanski2.4091216662K. Guzy1.5011101411113WOct 2 · 19:00D. Bucko1.80111118892M. Szymanski1.86972011113LOct 2 · 17:00T. Stachera2.40911512113M. Szymanski1.50114111092LOct 2 · 15:30M. Szymanski2.504760A. Veliiev1.461111113
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