TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Roman Wiza vs Robert Szymik 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
5112111151311711
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:35 and never touched: 72.1% is still 72.1%
Graded at full timeRobert Szymik to win
72.1%
72.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
5112111151311711
H2H Roman Wiza 40–123 Robert Szymik Roman Wiza has won 40 of their 163 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:3572.1%Our read73.5%to break even at 1.36
short by 1.4pp73.5% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.36 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (68%)
Szymik
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
40-123 in 163
Szymik
Correct
gap of 83 in 163, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wiza 1280 vs Szymik 1429
Szymik
Correct
both rated, 149 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wiza 20% vs Szymik 80%
Szymik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wiza 40% vs Szymik 80%
Szymik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wiza -2 · Szymik +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% · Strong (leans Szymik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wiza form (20%) is below what odds imply (35%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWiza 2.85 / Szymik 1.36
Signal prob.28% / 72%
Edge (Szymik)-1.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13239822
Wiza2.85
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog36% won 80 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back19% 24 of 129
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 78
Szymik1.36
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite68% won 266 of 392
Up 2–0, closes it96% 155 of 161
Up 1–0, closes it83% 204 of 246
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWiza4wins
AwaySzymik6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderSzymik leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWiza33.3%1 of 3
AwaySzymik57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wiza3Szymik7n = 10Szymik took 7 of 10
S2Wiza4Szymik6n = 10Szymik took 6 of 10
S3Wiza3Szymik7n = 10Szymik took 7 of 10
S4Wiza3Szymik4n = 7Szymik took 4 of 7
S5Wiza3Szymik1n = 4Wiza took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWizaSzymikW − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.339.4−4.1per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWizaSzymikBasisWin rate · lifetime408 / 945 vs 614 / 95343.2%64.4%408 / 945 vs 614 / 953Avg sets wonper match1.82.3per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
SzymikWiza 2.85/Szymik 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
72.1%
Szymik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Szymik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 27 · 00:20R. Wiza2781180R. Szymik351113113
LSep 26 · 20:20R. Wiza45115111172R. Szymik50611139113
WSep 13 · 04:20R. Wiza48911116113R. Szymik4011651172
WSep 12 · 18:45R. Wiza4181111113R. Szymik32115881
WSep 12 · 04:20R. Wiza5512111011113R. Szymik4714712772
LSep 11 · 18:45R. Wiza284111031R. Szymik4011612113
LSep 6 · 04:20R. Wiza248880R. Szymik331111113
LSep 5 · 18:45R. Wiza132470R. Szymik331111113
WSep 5 · 04:20R. Wiza48118126113R. Szymik43611101152
LSep 4 · 18:45R. Wiza24118231R. Szymik4181111113
R. Wiza10
LOct 3 · 17:30R. Wiza2.15131011862M. Sikon1.601112711113LOct 3 · 04:20D. Fira1.851511173R. Wiza1.85138150WOct 3 · 03:30K. Kowalski3.258770R. Wiza1.301111113LOct 3 · 02:45R. Wiza—77110H. Tkaczyk—1111133LOct 3 · 01:10R. Wiza1.80961671A. Ruszkiewicz1.91111114113WOct 3 · 00:20J. Michalski2.80581141R. Wiza1.3711119113LOct 2 · 23:15R. Wiza2.752890H. Tkaczyk1.401111113WOct 2 · 22:05R. Wiza1.601112123W. Jozala2.20310100WOct 2 · 21:15R. Wiza1.441111113J. Michalski2.622650LOct 2 · 20:05R. Wiza1.78118331D. Fira1.9381111113
R. Szymik10
WOct 3 · 17:55R. Szymik1.5211119113J. Badura2.37571161WSep 27 · 04:40R. Szymik1.141111113J. Michalski4.705490LSep 27 · 03:05D. Fira2.95111168113R. Szymik1.3595111162WSep 27 · 02:20L. Bernacki2.458750R. Szymik1.491111113WSep 27 · 01:30R. Szymik2.371411113H. Tkaczyk1.5212660WSep 27 · 00:20R. Szymik1.401113113R. Wiza2.6581180WSep 26 · 22:40R. Szymik1.171114113J. Michalski4.8041270WSep 26 · 21:05D. Fira2.60212381R. Szymik1.44111011113WSep 26 · 20:20R. Wiza2.40115111172R. Szymik1.47611139113LSep 26 · 19:30R. Szymik1.77117861H. Tkaczyk1.9541111113
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