TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Kolos vs Roman Boklah 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 3Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118113––––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 04:27 and never touched: 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeRoman Boklah to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Kolos above · Roman Boklah below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-3
Point 49 set 3, 11-3 · our read held Roman Boklah at 64.1%
49 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Kolos 10–43 Roman Boklah Oleksandr Kolos has won 10 of their 53 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 04:2764.1%Our read66.7%to break even at 1.50
short by 2.6pp66.7% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.50 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Boklah
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
10-43 in 53
Boklah
Wrong
gap of 33 in 53, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kolos 1125 vs Boklah 1114
Kolos
Correct
both rated, 11 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kolos 80% vs Boklah 60%
Kolos
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kolos 50% vs Boklah 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kolos +4 · Boklah -1
Kolos
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% · Clear lean (leans Boklah) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kolos form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKolos 2.50 / Boklah 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Boklah)-2.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13234657
Kolos2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 30)
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 24 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 20
Boklah1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 30)
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 66 of 101
Up 2–0, closes it96% 27 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it82% 44 of 54
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKolos3wins
AwayBoklah7wins
6 of 10 to a deciderBoklah leads 7–3, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKolos37.5%3 of 8
AwayBoklahn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kolos8Boklah2n = 10Kolos took 8 of 10
S2Kolos3Boklah7n = 10Boklah took 7 of 10
S3Kolos4Boklah6n = 10Boklah took 6 of 10
S4Kolos3Boklah7n = 10Boklah took 7 of 10
S5Kolos2Boklah4n = 6Boklah took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKolosBoklahK − BBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match42.543.6−1.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKolosBoklahBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 301 vs 257 / 61452.5%41.9%158 / 301 vs 257 / 614Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.035.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
BoklahKolos 2.50/Boklah 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Boklah · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kolos won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 17:28O. Kolos49111188113R. Boklah4278111152
LSep 30 · 12:00O. Kolos361181341R. Boklah4471115113
LSep 28 · 12:00O. Kolos4212961142R. Boklah451011112113
LSep 26 · 04:30O. Kolos4689111172R. Boklah49111197113
WSep 23 · 12:00O. Kolos4211614113R. Boklah344111271
LSep 21 · 17:28O. Kolos28115571R. Boklah3851111113
LSep 21 · 12:00O. Kolos366119101R. Boklah3911511123
LSep 19 · 05:30O. Kolos4911913972R. Boklah528111111113
LSep 12 · 08:00O. Kolos4311511882R. Boklah47911511113
WSep 5 · 10:00O. Kolos54121399113R. Boklah461011111132
O. Kolos10
WOct 3 · 06:00O. Kolos2.1011115113A. Fastov1.67781151WSep 30 · 17:28R. Boklah1.4478111152O. Kolos2.63111188113WSep 30 · 16:30D. Aldayev2.5010560O. Kolos1.501211113WSep 30 · 15:00O. Kolos1.361112113V. Klymenko3.0041030WSep 30 · 13:30O. Kolos1.331111123V. Ivnytskyi3.2596100LSep 30 · 12:00O. Kolos2.631181341R. Boklah1.4471115113WSep 28 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.751141171O. Kolos1.4091113113LSep 28 · 14:30A. Fastov1.73811611113O. Kolos2.0011311982LSep 28 · 13:00D. Aldayev3.401111113O. Kolos1.306880LSep 28 · 12:00R. Boklah1.441011112113O. Kolos2.6312961142
R. Boklah10
LOct 3 · 06:30V. Klymenko2.251111113R. Boklah1.572650LSep 30 · 17:28R. Boklah1.4478111152O. Kolos2.63111188113WSep 30 · 16:00V. Klymenko2.209111291R. Boklah1.6111514113WSep 30 · 14:30V. Ivnytskyi3.2561181162R. Boklah1.33115119113LSep 30 · 13:00D. Aldayev4.3341111113R. Boklah1.20118961WSep 30 · 12:00O. Kolos2.631181341R. Boklah1.4471115113LSep 28 · 17:34A. Fastov1.835111012113R. Boklah1.83116121092WSep 28 · 16:30D. Aldayev4.339311101R. Boklah1.2011119123LSep 28 · 15:00R. Boklah1.5091111131V. Klymenko2.5011513153WSep 28 · 12:00R. Boklah1.441011112113O. Kolos2.6312961142
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