TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ivan Pytsko vs Denys Maltsev 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191311119––––
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:20 and never touched: 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeIvan Pytsko to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingIvan Pytsko above · Denys Maltsev below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 64 set 3, 11-9 · our read held Ivan Pytsko at 67.9%
64 points played in total.
H2H Ivan Pytsko 50–15 Denys Maltsev Denys Maltsev has won 15 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:2067.9%Our read71.4%to break even at 1.40
short by 3.5pp71.4% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.40 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Pytsko
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
50-15 in 65
Pytsko
Correct
gap of 35 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pytsko 1587 vs Maltsev 1538
Pytsko
Correct
both rated, 49 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pytsko 40% vs Maltsev 20%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pytsko 50% vs Maltsev 30%
Pytsko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pytsko -1 · Maltsev -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% · Clear lean (leans Pytsko) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Maltsev form (20%) is below what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPytsko 1.40 / Maltsev 2.75
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Pytsko)-3.5pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13229108
Pytsko1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 30)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite53% won 81 of 154
Up 2–0, closes it95% 38 of 40
Up 1–0, closes it76% 62 of 82
Maltsev2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog43% won 85 of 196
Down 0–1, comes back19% 17 of 91
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePytsko9wins
AwayMaltsev1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPytsko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePytsko100%6 of 6
AwayMaltsev25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pytsko6Maltsev4n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S2Pytsko6Maltsev4n = 10Pytsko took 6 of 10
S3Pytsko9Maltsev1n = 10Pytsko took 9 of 10
S4Pytsko6Maltsev2n = 8Pytsko took 6 of 8
S5Pytsko2Maltsev1n = 3Pytsko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPytskoMaltsevP − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.533.0+7.5per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPytskoMaltsevBasisWin rate · lifetime342 / 612 vs 467 / 90855.9%51.4%342 / 612 vs 467 / 908Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
PytskoPytsko 1.40/Maltsev 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.9%
Pytsko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Pytsko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 30 · 09:35I. Pytsko44101211113D. Maltsev381210971
WSep 29 · 17:35I. Pytsko3711411113D. Maltsev30811381
WSep 29 · 01:30I. Pytsko3841111123D. Maltsev341158101
WSep 26 · 04:55I. Pytsko50119118113D. Maltsev3841171152
LSep 25 · 13:25I. Pytsko4191111732D. Maltsev46116711113
WSep 24 · 13:55I. Pytsko341112113D. Maltsev2591060
WSep 23 · 03:15I. Pytsko331111113D. Maltsev219570
WSep 21 · 14:25I. Pytsko3811115113D. Maltsev34891161
WSep 21 · 02:45I. Pytsko49971111113D. Maltsev3811114572
WSep 18 · 22:00I. Pytsko4111811113D. Maltsev26711531
I. Pytsko10
LSep 30 · 11:35I. Pytsko1.80911761M. Slozka1.9111711113WSep 30 · 09:35D. Maltsev2.751210971I. Pytsko1.40101211113WSep 30 · 07:35I. Fashchevskyi2.008880I. Pytsko1.731111113LSep 30 · 06:35I. Pytsko2.1011911892O. Storozhenko1.67911811113LSep 30 · 05:35Y. Tebenko1.80812811113I. Pytsko1.91111011972WSep 29 · 18:35Y. Tebenko1.913860I. Pytsko1.801111113WSep 29 · 17:35D. Maltsev2.75811381I. Pytsko1.4011411113LSep 29 · 16:05M. Slozka1.915101112113I. Pytsko1.80111251062WSep 29 · 14:05O. Storozhenko1.67811151082I. Pytsko2.101151312113LSep 29 · 12:05I. Fashchevskyi2.001111113I. Pytsko1.735450
D. Maltsev10
LOct 2 · 20:30Y. Tebenko1.73611144113D. Maltsev2.00116121162WSep 30 · 10:35I. Fashchevskyi2.104690D. Maltsev1.671111113LSep 30 · 09:35D. Maltsev2.751210971I. Pytsko1.40101211113LSep 30 · 08:35D. Maltsev1.9110890O. Storozhenko1.801211113LSep 30 · 07:05D. Maltsev2.0011139552Y. Tebenko1.736111111113LSep 30 · 05:05D. Maltsev1.50881161M. Slozka2.5011117113WSep 29 · 19:05O. Storozhenko1.8091141162D. Maltsev1.91114114113LSep 29 · 17:35D. Maltsev2.75811381I. Pytsko1.4011411113LSep 29 · 15:35Y. Tebenko1.73111176113D. Maltsev2.0066111162WSep 29 · 13:35I. Fashchevskyi2.2013831182D. Maltsev1.611111114113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.