TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Ziakun vs Serhii Miroshnychenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Oct 2Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117911118119––
Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:25 and never touched: 70.8% is still 70.8%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
70.8%
70.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 · our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 70.8%
77 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 80–29 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 29 of their 109 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:2570.8%Our read69.3%to break even at 1.444
clears by 1.5pp69.3% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.444 they are the same number)
What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
80-29 in 109
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 51 in 109, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1520 vs Miroshnychenko 1354
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 166 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Miroshnychenko 0%
Ziakun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Miroshnychenko 10%
Ziakun
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +1 · Miroshnychenko -5
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% · Strong (leans Ziakun) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (0%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.444 / Miroshnychenko 2.625
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Ziakun)+1.5pp
Setka Cup · #13228902
Ziakun1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 79 of 110
Up 2–0, closes it97% 32 of 33
Up 1–0, closes it90% 56 of 62
Miroshnychenko2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog23% won 72 of 313
Down 0–1, comes back11% 21 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 103
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun9wins
AwayMiroshnychenko1wins
8 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 9–1, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun100%4 of 4
AwayMiroshnychenko16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun4Miroshnychenko6n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S3Ziakun7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S4Ziakun5Miroshnychenko4n = 9Ziakun took 5 of 9
S5Ziakun7Miroshnychenko1n = 8Ziakun took 7 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home770%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunMiroshnychenkoZ − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match49.843.8+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime358 / 761 vs 306 / 85947%35.6%358 / 761 vs 306 / 859Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.134.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.44/Miroshnychenko 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WOct 1 · 04:30O. Ziakun631317913113S. Miroshnychenko571515111152
WSep 29 · 09:00O. Ziakun4271311113S. Miroshnychenko371111691
LSep 23 · 07:30O. Ziakun4771191192S. Miroshnychenko51119119113
WSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun341211113S. Miroshnychenko2310490
WSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun53139128113S. Miroshnychenko511111101182
WSep 15 · 09:00O. Ziakun50119118113S. Miroshnychenko4171161162
WSep 8 · 06:00O. Ziakun50891111113S. Miroshnychenko4111118652
WSep 3 · 06:00O. Ziakun561012118153S. Miroshnychenko531210711132
WAug 23 · 08:30O. Ziakun531111911113S. Miroshnychenko4513711772
WAug 21 · 06:00O. Ziakun50119118113S. Miroshnychenko3951181142
O. Ziakun10
WOct 1 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0011149113D. Prylepa1.736121171LOct 1 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.6311910101O. Syksa1.4431112123LOct 1 · 07:30O. Ziakun2.003890D. Kuzmenko1.731111113LOct 1 · 06:00O. Ziakun3.006890M. Hubenko1.361111113WOct 1 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.441317913113S. Miroshnychenko2.631515111152WSep 29 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.8312611113S. Maliuk1.831011871WSep 29 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.4071311113S. Miroshnychenko2.751111691LSep 29 · 07:30O. Ziakun3.0098111182M. Hubenko1.36111185113WSep 29 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.571111123O. Lyman2.2546100LSep 29 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.10711671D. Kuzmenko1.6711911113
S. Miroshnychenko10
LOct 1 · 11:00O. Syksa1.3011117113S. Miroshnychenko3.40961151LOct 1 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.1711118133S. Miroshnychenko4.505411111LOct 1 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.40121111113S. Miroshnychenko2.751013861LOct 1 · 06:30D. Kuzmenko1.501112113S. Miroshnychenko2.5091090LOct 1 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.441317913113S. Miroshnychenko2.631515111152WSep 29 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko2.6311117113D. Kuzmenko1.44991141LSep 29 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.4071311113S. Miroshnychenko2.751111691LSep 29 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko3.259980O. Lyman1.331111113LSep 29 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.4481111113S. Miroshnychenko2.63119341LSep 29 · 05:30S. Miroshnychenko4.501211671M. Hubenko1.1714811113
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