TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jerzy Michalik vs Janus Slawomir 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
114119311811115
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:42 and never touched: 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct, not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
114119311811115
H2H Jerzy Michalik 7–5 Janus Slawomir Janus Slawomir has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:4254.0%Our read52.6%to break even at 1.90
clears by 1.4pp52.6% (what it has to beat, and what the price implies: at 1.90 they are the same number)
What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.76 (52%)
Slawomir
Wrong
no bar to clear: a priced side always votes
H2H
7-5 in 12
Michalik
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1360 vs Slawomir 1335
Michalik
Correct
both rated, 24 points apart, no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 40% vs Slawomir 80%
Slawomir
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 30% vs Slawomir 60%
Slawomir
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -2 · Slawomir +3
Slawomir
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing: the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue: the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent, and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% · Coin-flip (leans Michalik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Slawomir form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (57%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 1.90 / Slawomir 1.76
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Michalik)+1.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13223690
Michalik1.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog35% won 117 of 334
Down 0–1, comes back18% 34 of 192
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 114
Slawomir1.76
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 59 of 81
Up 2–0, closes it94% 29 of 31
Up 1–0, closes it94% 43 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik6wins
AwaySlawomir4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderMichalik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik75%6 of 8
AwaySlawomirn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik8Slawomir2n = 10Michalik took 8 of 10
S2Michalik4Slawomir6n = 10Slawomir took 6 of 10
S3Michalik4Slawomir6n = 10Slawomir took 6 of 10
S4Michalik3Slawomir3n = 6split evenly
S5Michalik2Slawomir1n = 3Michalik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikSlawomirM − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.334.0+1.3per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikSlawomirBasisWin rate · lifetime563 / 1194 vs 101 / 17947.2%56.4%563 / 1194 vs 101 / 179Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.537.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikMichalik 1.90/Slawomir 1.76
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 27 · 01:45J. Michalik45114811113J. Slawomir4181111652
WSep 26 · 16:15J. Michalik46115118113J. Slawomir3971161142
WSep 21 · 08:50J. Michalik4211119113J. Slawomir28371171
WAug 31 · 03:50J. Michalik4111811113J. Slawomir30411961
LAug 29 · 21:45J. Michalik218490J. Slawomir331111113
LAug 29 · 17:45J. Michalik40111110172J. Slawomir47671211113
WAug 24 · 05:35J. Michalik341111123J. Slawomir2477100
WAug 10 · 03:35J. Michalik331111113J. Slawomir213990
LJul 29 · 19:55J. Michalik33135691J. Slawomir44111111113
LJul 27 · 03:35J. Michalik187470J. Slawomir331111113
J. Michalik10
LSep 30 · 17:30J. Michalik3.9091361272J. Zelezik1.2011111110113LSep 30 · 05:05J. Michalik1.821012581G. Mucha1.88121011113WSep 30 · 03:30J. Michalik1.661110117113M. Brunner2.1051281182LSep 30 · 02:20J. Michalik1.95101370K. Kwiatkowski1.751215113WSep 30 · 00:45J. Michalik1.94111146113A. Fomin1.7868111192LSep 29 · 23:30J. Michalik1.80914991J. Skorupa1.85111211113LSep 29 · 02:45J. Michalik1.7461311292A. Staniczek1.991111311113LSep 29 · 01:10J. Michalik2.15511591A. Kubiak1.6011911113WSep 29 · 00:00J. Michalik1.361111133M. Machelski2.9075110LSep 28 · 22:25J. Michalik2.0571090J. Cyndera1.681112113
J. Slawomir10
WSep 30 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.571111113A. Staniczek2.254960WSep 28 · 08:00J. Slawomir1.7031111113M. Machelski2.00116471WSep 28 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.2611611113W. Stechly3.51711911LSep 28 · 05:35J. Slawomir2.0511119782M. Wolny1.70281111113WSep 28 · 04:25T. Kordaszewski4.501590J. Slawomir1.181111113LSep 28 · 03:35J. Slawomir2.857690A. Fomin1.361111113LSep 27 · 01:45J. Slawomir1.8381111652J. Michalik1.83114811113LSep 27 · 00:35J. Slawomir1.834840P. Gesiarz1.831111113WSep 26 · 23:20J. Slawomir1.5711118113A. Szurgot2.25891171WSep 26 · 22:10K. Kwiatkowski2.101017111292J. Slawomir1.671215614113
Upcoming Matches
J. Michalik
J. Slawomir
Nothing scheduled
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.