TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Grzegorz Mucha vs Zbigniew Nocun · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 22:35Scheduled
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Head to head
7 – 14
All 21 meetings · 33.3%
Last 10 · 4–6Same side
7–3Last 10Won last 6
Zbigniew Nocun arrives on a run of 6 straight wins. The streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 8h before this match
Nocun beat Mucha 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMucha 2.375 / Nocun 1.533
TT Elite Series · #13221951
Mucha2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 56 of 160
Down 0–1, comes back17% 15 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back9% 5 of 58
Nocun1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite66% won 321 of 487
Up 2–0, closes it94% 158 of 169
Up 1–0, closes it85% 234 of 275
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMucha4wins
AwayNocun6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderNocun leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMuchan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayNocun62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Mucha2Nocun8n = 10Nocun took 8 of 10
S2Mucha3Nocun7n = 10Nocun took 7 of 10
S3Mucha7Nocun3n = 10Mucha took 7 of 10
S4Mucha3Nocun5n = 8Nocun took 5 of 8
S5Mucha3Nocun1n = 4Mucha took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricMuchaNocunM − NBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match38.840.4−1.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMuchaNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime175 / 352 vs 707 / 118049.7%59.9%175 / 352 vs 707 / 1180Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 24 · 23:55G. Mucha331111113Z. Nocun236890
LSep 24 · 17:55G. Mucha27411931Z. Nocun4211911113
LSep 21 · 02:35G. Mucha46119121132Z. Nocun51711148113
LSep 20 · 18:10G. Mucha37981191Z. Nocun3811115113
LSep 18 · 02:10G. Mucha371171181Z. Nocun4013115113
WSep 17 · 20:05G. Mucha551011119143Z. Nocun45123711122
LSep 15 · 01:30G. Mucha2446140Z. Nocun381111163
WSep 14 · 20:05G. Mucha44831111113Z. Nocun4511116892
WSep 7 · 02:10G. Mucha46581111113Z. Nocun4211115962
G. Mucha10
LSep 30 · 16:15G. Mucha2.203530M. Lewczuk1.611111113LSep 30 · 15:00G. Mucha2.25461171Z. Nocun1.5711118113WSep 30 · 05:05J. Michalik1.821012581G. Mucha1.88121011113WSep 30 · 03:55G. Mucha1.6091111113J. Skorupa2.20118691WSep 30 · 02:45M. Brunner2.60811101182G. Mucha1.44117123113LSep 30 · 01:30K. Kwiatkowski1.621113612113G. Mucha2.15711111482WSep 29 · 23:55A. Fomin1.717111271G. Mucha2.00111310113WSep 29 · 23:05M. Brunner4.058440G. Mucha1.181111113LSep 29 · 21:55G. Mucha1.836712121J. Skorupa1.87111110143LSep 29 · 20:45P. Gesiarz1.64119412113G. Mucha2.13711111072
Z. Nocun10
WSep 30 · 15:00G. Mucha2.25461171Z. Nocun1.5711118113WSep 29 · 01:30A. Krezel2.1088130Z. Nocun1.671111153WSep 29 · 00:50K. Kwiatkowski2.2011117382Z. Nocun1.61881111113WSep 28 · 23:10M. Lewczuk2.25113761Z. Nocun1.5791111113WSep 28 · 22:30H. Tkaczyk1.7386121172Z. Nocun2.001111106113WSep 28 · 21:00A. Barton6.5061180Z. Nocun1.101113113LSep 28 · 20:05A. Krezel2.251111133Z. Nocun1.5754110LSep 28 · 19:20K. Kwiatkowski2.6311115113Z. Nocun1.44871161WSep 28 · 17:20M. Lewczuk2.25117211102Z. Nocun1.57611117123LSep 28 · 16:35A. Skupinski2.5091112113Z. Nocun1.501181071
Upcoming Matches
G. Mucha
Z. Nocun
Sep 30 · 17:20Z. Nocun1.50M. Lewczuk2.50—Sep 30 · 19:20Z. Nocun1.67J. Skorupa2.10—Sep 30 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.73M. Machelski2.00—Sep 30 · 21:00Z. Nocun2.00H. Tkaczyk1.73—Sep 30 · 23:20Z. Nocun1.53M. Lewczuk2.38—Oct 1 · 01:25Z. Nocun1.67J. Skorupa2.10—Oct 1 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.73M. Machelski2.00—Oct 1 · 15:00Z. Nocun—A. Fomin——Oct 1 · 17:20Z. Nocun—A. Skupinski——Oct 1 · 19:20Z. Nocun—A. Barton——
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