TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mariusz Adamus vs Pawel Kurek 1-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 30Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911411119811––
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
74 points played in total.
Set by set
911411119811––
H2H Mariusz Adamus 13–17 Pawel Kurek Mariusz Adamus has won 13 of their 30 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Kurek beat Adamus 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurek form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 2.05 / Kurek 1.68
TT Elite Series · #13220136
Adamus2.05
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 180 of 424
Down 0–1, comes back22% 49 of 223
Down 0–2, comes back8% 10 of 124
Kurek1.68
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 236 of 362
Up 2–0, closes it95% 111 of 117
Up 1–0, closes it84% 164 of 196
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdamus3wins
AwayKurek7wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKurek leads 7–3, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamus60%3 of 5
AwayKurek100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adamus5Kurek5n = 10split evenly
S2Adamus7Kurek3n = 10Adamus took 7 of 10
S3Adamus2Kurek8n = 10Kurek took 8 of 10
S4Adamus2Kurek4n = 6Kurek took 4 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10. A scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamusKurekA − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.837.7−2.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusKurekBasisWin rate · lifetime803 / 1647 vs 451 / 89248.8%50.6%803 / 1647 vs 451 / 892Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.137.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
KurekAdamus 2.05/Kurek 1.68
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
1–3
Kurek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 29 · 16:25M. Adamus29116481P. Kurek3961111113
WSep 18 · 06:45M. Adamus4211119113P. Kurek30871141
LAug 30 · 03:10M. Adamus2071030P. Kurek341112113
WAug 28 · 06:25M. Adamus341211113P. Kurek2010550
LAug 25 · 05:55M. Adamus49111191172P. Kurek50871113113
LAug 8 · 00:10M. Adamus2310940P. Kurek341211113
LAug 7 · 16:55M. Adamus401015691P. Kurek47121311113
LJul 29 · 01:45M. Adamus40919751P. Kurek50111711113
WJul 28 · 16:15M. Adamus341111123P. Kurek2697100
LJun 30 · 05:35M. Adamus3761161132P. Kurek47117117113
M. Adamus10
LSep 30 · 00:45M. Adamus2.45711101172M. Lebek1.47118128113LSep 29 · 23:35M. Adamus2.606860M. Tkocz1.411111113LSep 29 · 22:25P. Adamus1.75111110133M. Adamus1.957912111WSep 29 · 21:35M. Adamus1.6671111113O. Sokolowski2.11115741WSep 29 · 20:00M. Adamus1.821011112133M. Sikon1.88128811112LSep 29 · 18:45M. Adamus1.65761181J. Kaczmarek2.0511116113WSep 29 · 17:35M. Adamus1.71111145113M. Tkocz2.0263111162LSep 29 · 16:25P. Kurek1.9061111113M. Adamus1.80116481WSep 29 · 15:35M. Adamus1.90111185113O. Sokolowski1.8099111162LSep 29 · 05:05M. Adamus2.119117101K. Adamus1.6611511123
P. Kurek10
WSep 30 · 01:10P. Adamus1.757770P. Kurek1.951111113LSep 30 · 00:25P. Kurek1.5093100O. Sokolowski2.351111123LSep 29 · 22:50P. Kurek2.40631171M. Tkocz1.5011119113LSep 29 · 22:00M. Lebek1.8511118113P. Kurek1.80681171WSep 29 · 20:45P. Kurek1.3311117113O. Sokolowski3.10661191LSep 29 · 19:10P. Kurek1.60119681M. Sikon2.1561111113LSep 29 · 18:00P. Kurek1.44101111632J. Kaczmarek2.60129811113WSep 29 · 16:25P. Kurek1.9061111113M. Adamus1.80116481WSep 29 · 15:10P. Kurek2.00111177113M. Tkocz1.7099111182WSep 28 · 04:20O. Vincenec2.1510870P. Kurek1.621211113
Upcoming Matches
M. Adamus
Nothing scheduled
P. Kurek
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