TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mateusz Trela vs Wojciech Iwasyszyn 3-0 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 29Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
121013111311––––
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 00:07 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMateusz Trela to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
70 points played in total.
Set by set
121013111311––––
H2H Mateusz Trela 42–38 Wojciech Iwasyszyn Wojciech Iwasyszyn has won 38 of their 80 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 9h before this match
Iwasyszyn beat Trela 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 00:07What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.65 (56%)
Trela
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-38 in 80
Trela
Correct
gap of 4 in 80, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Trela 1283 vs Iwasyszyn 1323
Iwasyszyn
Wrong
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Trela 80% vs Iwasyszyn 40%
Trela
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Trela 60% vs Iwasyszyn 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Trela +4 · Iwasyszyn +1
Trela
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% · Coin-flip (leans Trela) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Trela form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (61%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTrela 1.65 / Iwasyszyn 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Trela)-1.1pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13214113
Trela1.65
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite56% won 135 of 241
Up 2–0, closes it93% 53 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it74% 89 of 121
Iwasyszyn2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 93 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back33% 41 of 126
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTrela4wins
AwayIwasyszyn6wins
8 of 10 to a deciderIwasyszyn leads 6–4, and 8 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTrela60%3 of 5
AwayIwasyszyn80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Trela5Iwasyszyn5n = 10split evenly
S2Trela4Iwasyszyn6n = 10Iwasyszyn took 6 of 10
S3Trela6Iwasyszyn4n = 10Trela took 6 of 10
S4Trela5Iwasyszyn5n = 10split evenly
S5Trela3Iwasyszyn5n = 8Iwasyszyn took 5 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTrelaIwasyszynT − IBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match48.846.3+2.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTrelaIwasyszynBasisWin rate · lifetime806 / 1643 vs 535 / 105549.1%50.7%806 / 1643 vs 535 / 1055Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TrelaTrela 1.65/Iwasyszyn 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Trela · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Trela won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 28 · 15:00M. Trela601181116142W. Iwasyszyn591311514163
LSep 7 · 23:20M. Trela51811811132W. Iwasyszyn53119117153
LSep 7 · 20:30M. Trela3811118352W. Iwasyszyn46851111113
LJul 5 · 11:00M. Trela33911851W. Iwasyszyn3811511113
WJul 5 · 06:05M. Trela541112119113W. Iwasyszyn4891491152
LJul 5 · 04:15M. Trela5510111111122W. Iwasyszyn52121349143
WJul 4 · 14:40M. Trela521110911113W. Iwasyszyn4571211782
LJul 4 · 06:05M. Trela4911911992W. Iwasyszyn41211611113
WJul 4 · 03:50M. Trela4491113113W. Iwasyszyn371171181
WJun 8 · 10:30M. Trela521191110113W. Iwasyszyn4481141292
M. Trela10
WSep 28 · 23:20M. Trela1.7013511113M. Kowalczyk2.001111871WSep 28 · 21:55M. Trela1.9392011113B. Mrugala1.781118681WSep 28 · 21:30M. Trela1.83811511113M. Skorski1.8311811682WSep 28 · 20:30M. Trela1.4012114113M. Kowalczyk2.651081191LSep 28 · 18:55M. Trela1.429950P. Strus2.551111113LSep 28 · 17:45M. Trela1.83510100B. Mrugala1.871112123WSep 28 · 16:15M. Trela1.7711116113M. Skorski1.95871181LSep 28 · 15:00M. Trela1.721181116142W. Iwasyszyn2.011311514163LSep 28 · 07:40M. Trela2.85811991A. Sobel1.3511811113WSep 28 · 06:30M. Trela1.901311113R. Stapor1.8111970
W. Iwasyszyn10
WSep 28 · 23:45W. Iwasyszyn1.78131110113B. Mrugala1.931141291LSep 28 · 22:55W. Iwasyszyn1.714101171M. Skorski2.0011129113LSep 28 · 21:05W. Iwasyszyn1.62111181052M. Kowalczyk2.15661112113LSep 28 · 20:05B. Mrugala1.901311113W. Iwasyszyn1.8011860WSep 28 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk2.50451191W. Iwasyszyn1.4711112113WSep 28 · 17:20M. Skorski1.809560W. Iwasyszyn1.851111113LSep 28 · 16:35P. Strus2.55124611113W. Iwasyszyn1.45101111692WSep 28 · 15:00M. Trela1.721181116142W. Iwasyszyn2.011311514163WSep 24 · 13:55W. Iwasyszyn2.301111113A. Mugowski1.559990WSep 24 · 12:40W. Iwasyszyn1.621111113R. Stapor2.177860
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