TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Daniel Kostal vs Krzysztof Kapik 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 28Finished
Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
311511411––––
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:51 and never touched — 55.0% is still 55.0%
Graded at full timeKrzysztof Kapik to win
55.0%
55.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
45 points played in total.
Set by set
311511411––––
H2H Daniel Kostal 0–2 Krzysztof Kapik Daniel Kostal has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:51What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.69 (55%)
Kapik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kostal 1644 vs Kapik 1645
Kapik
Correct
both rated, 1 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kostal 80% vs Kapik 0%
Kostal
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kostal 60% vs Kapik 40%
Kostal
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kostal +2 · Kapik -5
Kapik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Kapik) · sealed before the serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kapik form (0%) is below what odds imply (59%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKostal 2.05 / Kapik 1.69
Signal prob.45% / 55%
Edge (Kapik)+0.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13209536
Kostal2.05
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 20 of 60
Down 0–1, comes back25% 9 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 17
Kapik1.69
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 219 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it95% 104 of 109
Up 1–0, closes it78% 148 of 189
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKostal0wins
AwayKapik2wins
Kapik leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricKostalKapikKostal − KapikBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match26.539.0−12.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKostalKapikBasisWin rate · lifetime34 / 82 vs 1120 / 210541.5%53.2%34 / 82 vs 1120 / 2105Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match35.539.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KapikKostal 2.05/Kapik 1.69
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
55%
Kapik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kapik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 28 · 06:00D. Kostal123540K. Kapik331111113
LSep 18 · 04:25D. Kostal419116151K. Kapik4511611173
D. Kostal10
WSep 28 · 04:25D. Kostal2.451113113G. Poliniewicz1.4591150WSep 28 · 03:40M. Sklensky1.426111071D. Kostal2.6011312113LSep 26 · 23:20M. Olbrycht1.831111113D. Kostal1.838870WSep 26 · 22:35J. Kuzmicz1.306890D. Kostal3.401111113WSep 26 · 22:10D. Kostal2.3811124113F. Mlynarski1.539101151WSep 26 · 21:00M. Kolek1.6061191182D. Kostal2.10118115113LSep 26 · 20:30D. Kostal1.831411891M. Olbrycht1.8316811113WSep 26 · 18:50D. Kostal1.731112113A. Wos2.0051070LSep 26 · 17:40D. Kostal2.38109111142F. Mlynarski1.53121136113LSep 26 · 16:05D. Kostal3.001110101242J. Kuzmicz1.366121210113
K. Kapik10
LSep 28 · 04:50M. Sklensky1.371111113K. Kapik2.758660LSep 28 · 03:20J. Kuzmicz1.44121111113K. Kapik2.60148581LSep 25 · 14:35K. Kapik2.303670P. Klos1.521111113LSep 25 · 13:00K. Kapik1.7151011101D. Kosmal2.0011124123LSep 25 · 11:45K. Kapik2.45991161M. Nowalinski1.4911117113WSep 25 · 10:05K. Kapik1.80139119113G. Poliniewicz1.85111191182WSep 25 · 09:00K. Kapik1.951211123M. Malachowski1.75109100LSep 25 · 08:05K. Kapik1.78114951M. Malachowski1.9181111113WSep 25 · 06:25K. Wisniewski2.306580K. Kapik1.551111113WSep 25 · 05:35G. Poliniewicz1.831211117102K. Kapik1.83148911123
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