TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Bartlomiej Wisniewski vs Mateusz Misiak 3-1 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 26Finished
Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
11711131513119––
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
90 points played in total.
Set by set
11711131513119––
H2H Bartlomiej Wisniewski 4–7 Mateusz Misiak Bartlomiej Wisniewski has won 4 of their 11 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Misiak beat Wisniewski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Misiak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wisniewski form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWisniewski 2.25 / Misiak 1.55
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Misiak)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13200747
Wisniewski2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 163 of 446
Down 0–1, comes back15% 40 of 263
Down 0–2, comes back1% 2 of 144
Misiak1.55
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 181 of 301
Up 2–0, closes it96% 108 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it81% 147 of 181
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWisniewski4wins
AwayMisiak6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderMisiak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWisniewski40%2 of 5
AwayMisiak60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wisniewski5Misiak5n = 10split evenly
S2Wisniewski3Misiak7n = 10Misiak took 7 of 10
S3Wisniewski6Misiak4n = 10Wisniewski took 6 of 10
S4Wisniewski3Misiak5n = 8Misiak took 5 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricWisniewskiMisiakW − MBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.9−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWisniewskiMisiakBasisWin rate · lifetime894 / 1890 vs 1009 / 190047.3%53.1%894 / 1890 vs 1009 / 1900Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.637.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MisiakWisniewski 2.25/Misiak 1.55
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.4%
Misiak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Wisniewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 26 · 07:40B. Wisniewski371171181M. Misiak4051113113
LSep 11 · 03:00B. Wisniewski41881691M. Misiak47111114113
LSep 10 · 07:50B. Wisniewski28114581M. Misiak4071111113
WJul 25 · 14:20B. Wisniewski46114118123M. Misiak43611511102
LJul 19 · 11:25B. Wisniewski30111180M. Misiak371313113
WJul 19 · 05:15B. Wisniewski341112113M. Misiak2671090
LJul 19 · 03:00B. Wisniewski35781191M. Misiak3911116113
WJun 7 · 14:20B. Wisniewski3961111113M. Misiak36119791
LAug 21 · 14:35B. Wisniewski49127911102M. Misiak531011119123
WJul 8 · 01:00B. Wisniewski45101113113M. Misiak381281171
B. Wisniewski10
LSep 26 · 13:05B. Wisniewski1.8598111172A. Szoltysek1.85111169113WSep 26 · 11:50B. Wisniewski2.0061112113K. Guminski1.731181051WSep 26 · 10:10B. Wisniewski2.15101411113J. Przewlocki1.611212961WSep 26 · 09:00B. Wisniewski1.951111123J. Rolak1.7596100LSep 26 · 07:40M. Misiak1.5151113113B. Wisniewski2.401171181LSep 26 · 06:55J. Przewlocki1.751111133B. Wisniewski1.9597110LSep 26 · 06:05B. Wisniewski1.78511591A. Szoltysek1.9311711113LSep 26 · 04:30B. Wisniewski1.851111391D. Wrobel1.8513611113LSep 26 · 03:50J. Rolak1.8511119123B. Wisniewski1.859911101WSep 25 · 08:10M. Lukaszewski1.7085100B. Wisniewski2.001111123
M. Misiak10
WSep 26 · 13:30M. Misiak1.3313128113J. Rolak3.1011101181WSep 26 · 12:15A. Szoltysek2.6081112662M. Misiak1.421151011113LSep 26 · 11:00K. Guminski2.1511811113M. Misiak1.60711991LSep 26 · 09:25J. Przewlocki2.4011711113M. Misiak1.47811981WSep 26 · 07:40M. Misiak1.5151113113B. Wisniewski2.401171181WSep 26 · 06:30M. Misiak1.3411411113J. Rolak3.00511841WSep 26 · 05:15M. Misiak1.701111113D. Wrobel2.008750WSep 26 · 04:10J. Przewlocki1.75118871M. Misiak1.9891111113WSep 26 · 03:25M. Misiak1.501211113A. Szoltysek2.4010650WSep 20 · 14:35I. Dabrowski1.8681181182M. Misiak1.80113118113
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