TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Marcin Kowalczyk vs Piotr Krukar 0-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Marcin Kowalczyk
Home
1.95
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1012411411––––
Piotr Krukar
Away
1.75
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:07 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePiotr Krukar to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
1012411411––––
H2H Marcin Kowalczyk 2–0 Piotr Krukar Piotr Krukar has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (53%)
Krukar
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Kowalczyk 1254 vs Krukar 1272
Krukar
Correct
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kowalczyk 20% vs Krukar 60%
Krukar
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kowalczyk 40% vs Krukar 60%
Krukar
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kowalczyk -3 · Krukar +3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krukar)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kowalczyk form (20%) is below what odds imply (51%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKowalczyk 1.95 / Krukar 1.75
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Krukar)+1.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13190934
Kowalczyk1.95
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 145 of 328
Down 0–1, comes back23% 37 of 159
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 72
Krukar1.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite35% won 6 of 17
Up 2–0, closes it80% 4 of 5
Up 1–0, closes it63% 5 of 8
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKowalczyk2wins
AwayKrukar0wins
2 of 2 to a deciderKowalczyk leads 2–0, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home2
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKowalczykKrukarKowalczyk − KrukarBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match48.042.5+5.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKowalczykKrukarBasisWin rate · lifetime740 / 1507 vs 12 / 3049.1%40%740 / 1507 vs 12 / 30Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.939.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrukarKowalczyk 1.95/Krukar 1.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Krukar · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krukar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 23 · 21:05M. Kowalczyk518111110113P. Krukar4311651292
WSep 23 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk45931111113P. Krukar4211119562
M. Kowalczyk10
LSep 24 · 17:20M. Kowalczyk1.801112751J. Glanowski1.9251411113LSep 24 · 16:15B. Mrugala2.051112113M. Kowalczyk1.6661080LSep 24 · 15:25M. Kowalczyk1.9011115382J. Rolak1.75871111113WSep 23 · 23:20J. Glanowski1.40117731M. Kowalczyk2.7591111113LSep 23 · 22:35D. Poloszczanski1.651111511113M. Kowalczyk2.1013711772LSep 23 · 22:15M. Kowalczyk2.158460W. Gluszek1.621111113WSep 23 · 21:05P. Krukar1.6311651292M. Kowalczyk1.938111110113WSep 23 · 20:30J. Glanowski1.36981151M. Kowalczyk2.5011118113WSep 23 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.82931111113P. Krukar1.8811119562LSep 23 · 18:10P. Strus2.0091111113M. Kowalczyk1.70114631
P. Krukar10
WSep 24 · 17:45B. Mrugala1.87791191P. Krukar1.7311117113WSep 24 · 16:55P. Krukar1.70314911113J. Rolak1.95111211972WSep 24 · 15:50P. Krukar1.83111111113M. Skorski1.83561351LSep 24 · 24:10J. Glanowski1.851510116113P. Krukar1.85131281192LSep 23 · 23:45P. Krukar2.2561112942D. Poloszczanski1.581191011113WSep 23 · 22:55P. Krukar1.5811186113W. Gluszek2.257161181LSep 23 · 21:05P. Krukar1.6311651292M. Kowalczyk1.938111110113WSep 23 · 20:05D. Poloszczanski1.901285151P. Krukar1.80101111173LSep 23 · 19:20M. Kowalczyk1.82931111113P. Krukar1.8811119562WSep 23 · 17:20W. Gluszek1.85111155102P. Krukar1.85941111123
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