TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Jakub Zochniak vs Mateusz Rutkowski 2-3 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Sep 24Finished
Jakub Zochniak
Home
2.45
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811117411115211
Mateusz Rutkowski
Away
1.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:40 and never touched — 71.3% is still 71.3%
Graded at full timeMateusz Rutkowski to win
71.3%
71.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
81 points played in total.
Set by set
811117411115211
H2H Jakub Zochniak 23–51 Mateusz Rutkowski Jakub Zochniak has won 23 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:40What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Rutkowski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
23-51 in 74
Rutkowski
Correct
gap of 28 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zochniak 1527 vs Rutkowski 1668
Rutkowski
Correct
both rated, 141 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zochniak 20% vs Rutkowski 40%
Rutkowski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zochniak 40% vs Rutkowski 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zochniak -4 · Rutkowski +1
Zochniak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Rutkowski) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Rutkowski form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZochniak 2.45 / Rutkowski 1.47
Signal prob.34% / 67%
Edge (Rutkowski)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13189341
Zochniak2.45
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog34% won 132 of 391
Down 0–1, comes back14% 30 of 222
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 115
Rutkowski1.47
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 362 of 509
Up 2–0, closes it98% 179 of 183
Up 1–0, closes it89% 286 of 320
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZochniak1wins
AwayRutkowski9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderRutkowski leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZochniak33.3%1 of 3
AwayRutkowski100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zochniak3Rutkowski7n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S2Zochniak3Rutkowski7n = 10Rutkowski took 7 of 10
S3Zochniak6Rutkowski4n = 10Zochniak took 6 of 10
S4Zochniak2Rutkowski7n = 9Rutkowski took 7 of 9
S5Zochniak0Rutkowski3n = 3Rutkowski took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZochniakRutkowskiZ − RBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.342.3−5.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZochniakRutkowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime1155 / 2201 vs 816 / 145252.5%56.2%1155 / 2201 vs 816 / 1452Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
RutkowskiZochniak 2.45/Rutkowski 1.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.5%
Rutkowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Rutkowski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 16:30J. Zochniak32771261M. Rutkowski43111110113
LJul 29 · 15:00J. Zochniak371091261M. Rutkowski44121110113
LJul 27 · 22:10J. Zochniak4211411972M. Rutkowski41211611113
WJul 27 · 01:10J. Zochniak4211911113M. Rutkowski36911791
LJul 26 · 22:50J. Zochniak4261211672M. Rutkowski511110811113
LJul 26 · 17:20J. Zochniak29811100M. Rutkowski361113123
LJul 20 · 24:20J. Zochniak381051581M. Rutkowski47121113113
LJul 19 · 22:05J. Zochniak33117961M. Rutkowski3961111113
LJul 12 · 18:30J. Zochniak30511771M. Rutkowski4211911113
LJun 29 · 15:00J. Zochniak48111171182M. Rutkowski44133116113
J. Zochniak10
LSep 24 · 12:35J. Zochniak3.2046110K. Kapik1.331111133LSep 24 · 11:20J. Zochniak2.3091150J. Kwapis1.551113113LSep 24 · 10:05M. Malachowski2.651111811113J. Zochniak1.4313611962LSep 24 · 09:20J. Zochniak3.0594120G. Poliniewicz1.301111143WSep 23 · 14:20J. Zochniak1.45121011183M. Minda2.2710126161WSep 23 · 12:50W. Iwasyszyn3.8211129121J. Zochniak1.2291411143WSep 23 · 11:50A. Szoltysek4.35691151J. Zochniak1.1611115113WSep 23 · 11:00J. Zochniak1.41911913113R. Stapor2.70114111192LSep 23 · 09:50J. Zochniak1.93961191M. Zwolinski1.7911116113LSep 22 · 14:20J. Zochniak1.858950D. Solilo1.851111113
M. Rutkowski10
WSep 24 · 13:00M. Malachowski1.85651111122M. Rutkowski1.85111197143LSep 24 · 12:10M. Rutkowski1.901131541G. Poliniewicz1.75131113113LSep 24 · 10:30M. Rutkowski1.7073120J. Kwapis2.001111143WSep 24 · 09:45K. Kapik2.1011101110122M. Rutkowski1.65712312143LSep 24 · 08:30A. Daniel1.6511911113M. Rutkowski2.05411621LSep 24 · 07:15M. Rutkowski2.257660K. Wloczko1.551111113WSep 24 · 06:00M. Malachowski1.8761070M. Rutkowski1.831112113WSep 24 · 04:50G. Poliniewicz1.95111115101M. Rutkowski1.7713317123WSep 24 · 03:20J. Kwapis2.1071260M. Rutkowski1.631114113LSep 23 · 14:15M. Rutkowski2.005850D. Prokopcov1.731111113
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