TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
Mariusz Adamus vs Piotr Ostachowski 3-2 · TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Played Oct 5Finished
Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
3111191614911115
Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
100 points played in total.
Set by set
3111191614911115
H2H Mariusz Adamus 1–0 Piotr Ostachowski Piotr Ostachowski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 7h before this match
Adamus beat Ostachowski 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically. The market typically prices this in, which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ostachowski form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (54%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamus 1.80 / Ostachowski 1.86
TT Elite Series · #13246200
Adamus1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite53% won 199 of 375
Up 2–0, closes it88% 73 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it71% 136 of 193
Ostachowski1.86
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog14% won 5 of 36
Down 0–1, comes back7% 2 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeAdamus1wins
AwayOstachowski0wins
Adamus leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n: a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it, below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricAdamusOstachowskiA − OBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match46.038.0+8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamusOstachowskiBasisWin rate · lifetime798 / 1635 vs 16 / 5348.8%30.2%798 / 1635 vs 16 / 53Avg sets wonper match2.01.4per matchAvg pointsper match39.132.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did: no prediction
Match Winner
OstachowskiAdamus 1.80/Ostachowski 1.86
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
—
no pick shipped on this market
What happened
3–2
Adamus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WOct 4 · 17:10M. Adamus46111212113P. Ostachowski388141061
M. Adamus10
LOct 5 · 01:10M. Guzik1.46111266113M. Adamus2.50410111172WOct 4 · 22:50M. Adamus1.86911117113A. Ruszkiewicz1.8011761162LOct 4 · 22:00M. Sikon1.90121111113M. Adamus1.80144691WOct 4 · 20:20M. Adamus1.9511119113A. Ruszkiewicz1.70851161LOct 4 · 18:45G. Sawicki2.151215193M. Adamus1.601013170WOct 4 · 18:00M. Sikon1.7811741172M. Adamus1.93811119113WOct 4 · 17:10M. Adamus—111212113P. Ostachowski—8141061LOct 4 · 16:00M. Adamus3.209101191M. Guzik1.3111126113WOct 2 · 08:00M. Adamus1.80911116113M. Guzik1.9111771172LOct 2 · 06:45M. Adamus2.004760Y. Fomin1.731111113
P. Ostachowski10
LOct 5 · 01:35P. Ostachowski—411861A. Ruszkiewicz—11811113WOct 4 · 23:10M. Sikon—118591P. Ostachowski—71111113WOct 4 · 21:35G. Sawicki—7550P. Ostachowski—1111113WOct 4 · 20:45M. Sikon1.601011581P. Ostachowski2.2012911113WOct 4 · 19:35P. Ostachowski2.5331211113A. Ruszkiewicz1.471110851WOct 4 · 18:25M. Guzik1.8011612582P. Ostachowski1.908111011113LOct 4 · 17:10M. Adamus—111212113P. Ostachowski—8141061LOct 4 · 15:35G. Sawicki1.72911113113P. Ostachowski2.0211981182WSep 21 · 17:05P. Ostachowski—511711113J. Kaczmarek—11511122WSep 21 · 15:30P. Ostachowski5.0611711113O. Jadach1.13511951
Upcoming Matches
M. Adamus
P. Ostachowski
Nothing scheduled
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